snowfan

The 12Z NAM twins indicate there may be a narrow swath of light snow somewhere in the region tomorrow afternoon. Favored areas appear to be west of DC for now. This is before a potential light mix overnight into Tuesday morning.

Seems like temps may bust high today for those further south of the M/D line? Cold air push associated w the front is still working its way through central pa. BWI is already up to 48 and DCA is at 51, while KUNV is at 30. Enjoy time outside before it arrives.

If no one is posting pretty maps of snow and ice accums, its not a real threat.

Put this on repeat 1) sunny, 55, slight breeze gusting to 20mph 2)Backdoor cold front with areas north and east of DC staying in the 40s and low 50s while Fredericksburg is 70 and sunny

Its happening!!

Snow piles holding on into march is good for these parts. Beautiful day.

My south facing mulch beds have their first daffodil and tulip bulbs appearing above surface.

Foggy and frosty this morning.

Sounds like birds chirping, mulch, seed and fertilizer spreading.

T shirt weather outside. 5 day suspension for the thread starter.

WPC got this out before the 6Z GFS OP. LOL

Just sliding away…

We are counting on you, randy, to bring this home. Last storm flopped for many because you bailed on us.

From LWX KEY MESSAGE 3... Wintry precipitation threats are possible early next week. Following a dry weekend, shortwave troughing pivoting to the north will push a surface cold front across the region on Monday. As the trough pivots over the Great Lakes towards the Northeast, moisture originating from the Pacific approaches the area. With the event being toward the end of the forecast period, there remains a good deal of spread within the model guidance. While global guidance agrees on precipitation during the day, the discrepancies are with precipitation type. Marginal temperatures in the 30s during the day will drop into the mid to upper 20s overnight. The 00z GFS has snow staying along the MD/PA border with those farther south getting a mix of sleet/snow. The 00z ECMWF/Canadian has primarily snow across the area. Chances for a winter weather event remain low given the model discrepancies, but will certainly continue to monitor in subsequent forecast shifts.

So the global suite seems to be onboard for the moment with the lead wave early next week giving this sub snow. 6Z GFS is stronger with the cold push and as a result, better wrt snow outcomes.

End of cold pattern storm. We've seen it many times.

Highest amount in the upslope so far is 22.5" near holly river state park. Red Creek near canaan at 16" earlier this evening.

I’m ready to be hurt

HH GFS hitting us w the blue.

Really need the gfs to be correct just to create a disastrous Thursday afternoon rush hour. Its been too long since we had one of those.

BWI let me down. Otherwise this was spot on. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62613-222-23-theres-no-way-storm-part-2/?do=findComment&comment=8026870

Nice to see that many on the northern side verified warning criteria, even if on the low end.

They need to get rid of color scale on the maps until there's more complete mesonet coverage. It makes the interpolation of totals messy and misleading.

The localized nature of the enhanced banding was evident on the drive to work. An inch + more in suitland than at my place, which is very unusual.

My folks in southern York county just sent a deck Pic