Stormpc
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Everything posted by Stormpc
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I think it's coming back starting 12 Z. That Northwest Edge is going to expand and the southeast extent is going to shrink. Just going by what we've seen in the final 36 to 48 Hours leading up to events.
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Thank you @Ric Airport. Sucks at this point looking at the situation for our Richmond friends. Hopefully the bump NW starts during the 12z suite. RATIOS are going to be huge on the northwest side of this thing. A half an inch of precip can easily lead to 8 in of snow.
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6Z EURO? Hopefully it stops the bleed.
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Exactly. The delineation lines between 1 inch and 6 inches are like 15 miles wide for 150 miles Northeast to southwest. That's not going to happen
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Thank you for the DT 1st Guess call map.
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I don't have Facebook access what's he saying?
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Nice run for everyone in our thread. Looks a little more south again on the southern edge if I recall. Not much. Definitely not north.
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And that's fine. I'll take a waa/ overrunning event any day. Probably because the lp was like 1012 on ICON?
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RGEM 2 runs in a row nearly identical with a southside va/NE NC jackpot. but now has big snow waaay south of the Albemarle. Yes, RGEM not a great model/Nam at this range as well. Just pointing out the trends.
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WOW!!! 20 VA BEACH. Crazy. It more than held for us southers... Got me in double digits now.
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18z RGEM is a Hampton Roads / Northeast North Carolina nuke
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We've all seen the NAM make a 200 MI correction in either direction within the span of 6 hours. Especially outside of 60. It's generally worthless until tomorrow night in my opinion However, the reason why we still look at it is because sometimes, in the rare occasion, the outlying solution becomes reality. We only remember it when it does so it skews the perception of it.
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That's a pretty good step to the south and east with snow south of the Va peninsulas. Definitely a step toward the other globals. Might be the most realistic in my opinion. And for us on the south side and Northeast North Carolina it's a good and welcome sight.
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Yes. Even when everything else was suggesting a historic KU event. Still lots of time.
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Some cement to lock in the first few inches after the initial waa thump. That's fine.
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Just 20 more miles SE is all I ask!
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So if you're in Chesapeake or Virginia beach, most models have between 6 and 14 inches but the GFS has zero. Either GFS has control of this situation or is way out to lunch. Time will tell. Anytime you've got locales so close to the coast, any minor agitation upstairs can cause chaos
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GFS looks about the same perhaps slightly Southeast but negligible.
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ICON is a Hampton Roads beat down
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Euro is deadly at mid-range. Let's watch and see if all the other globals and shorter range mesos start falling in line. At least I hope so.
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GFS still produces nothing for Hampton Roads Southside and North Carolina so I'd rather not pay attention except to look for the trends. I'm going to hug the snowiest models and go to sleep. Thank you CMC.
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Well that looks pretty nice. Definitely a step further southeast.
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Do tell!
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Anybody have the GFS ens members? 18z...
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Just took a look through the euro. Well. I don't think it would hurt too much in the Richmond area if this came another 50 miles south? Would you all mind if I can join the party a little bit? Even so I get some on both sides of the mix and end up with 3-6. That would be a huge score.
