We basically had a cat 1 last year south of BOS. And arguably a strong TS with Cat 1 gusts in Oct 2019 in PYM county. Not technically a tropical system, but a hybrid.
Even if it misses the first trough, the second one coming in may not be sharp enough. Different story for NS.
Not trying to piss on the tropical weenie cheerios, but looks difficult to get that close to SNE.