The waters are warm for sure. But I guess when you look at the data Dendrite showed...this doesn't seem like a sudden occurrence. Especially if it's dry.
I agree. They are terrible.
But I’ve also seen a lot of OCMs half ass a forecast and never really nail down the timing or placement of the showers. Anybody who is capable can do this. It’s not hard.
Gonna be tough to escape a wet pattern with a trough holding 850 temps near 2C over Lake Superior. Some of that drier air may move in mid to late next week for a couple of days.