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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Yep, I know what you mean. The atmosphere "adjusts" first before any SST response. But right now, the atmosphere for next few weeks still looks Nina to me.
  2. I was just kidding around. Big finish there. My only reserve is that I don't see Nina dying yet.
  3. Will any of these anal logs give me snow?
  4. Don, all the best....I wish you good health and to kick whatever you have going on.
  5. Well since you asked, pretty good. EPS imo looks better, but it’s all you can ask at this point. I don’t see things pushed back for the time being either. Caveats: 1) Any sensible impacts probably will be post 1-20 and give yourself a few days cushion knowing how things can be slow to change. 2) EPS is the better, but not quite a +PNA. Basically a west coast ridge. 3) GEFS have a similar ridge location, but some troughing over desert SW. It’s not exactly a -PNA, but would be more of a Ptype risk. Perhaps more SWFE? Net/net….a hell of a lot better than what we have, but gonna need a week to see if this is true or not, and it may not be exactly perfect. We still have the Nina DNA that may want to shift things west. Fingers crossed.
  6. Kind of like Torch Tiger. Used to be a gentle soul posting beautiful scenic winter pics of Bedford NH. Not sure what happened to the lad. Hate to see it.
  7. We haven’t had those lows that park north of Maine with a moist reach around for the mtns really. A little here and there, but it hasn’t been a good pattern for it.
  8. I haven't seen week 5 and 6 yet, but week 4 inspired me to listen to this:
  9. Imagine what the glades are like there.
  10. Oh that, LOL. That's about right. Rain for Phil in Randolph NH, but snow for the DE beach house.
  11. The GEFS have been dragging its heels, but sort of match more with EPS. That's all I meant.
  12. LOL, this winter sure. But in most winters, changes to roll forward.
  13. GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10.
  14. Fraud five is great because it's true. Maybe the SVR stuff is more for eastern areas vs western.
  15. I still see it as complete dog shit. LOL.
  16. I didn't see anybody locking that in or anything, just a comment on what guidance showed. I think we all understand it's a low chance.
  17. Unfortunately it's about to drown New England.
  18. Euro stuff had some signs of it too. But yeah, not only are those tenuous, but that means something needs to go right.
  19. Nice anal snow for NNE on the GFS.
  20. Wednesday night into Thursday may offer a little -SN. 3K NAM almost had a meso low type feature east of the MA coastline.
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