CoastalWx

It was great there for sure. December was epic here too..just kind of went out in a whimper afterwards.

It sort of was a let down near and south of the pike later in January onward. I probably could have smoked a cigarette and have been happy getting that big storm that the Cape got in January 2008, but that was a whiff.

I believe it's more that the hemispheric pattern (Nina then borderline weak Nino in 2015) allowed for the MJO to be situated in such a way that it helped drive 500mb ridging over the NE PAC.

I saw something about the MJO from 2013 into 2015 being in an area to promote consistent NE PAC ridging and thus warmer SSTs. Pretty sure Ventrice or one of those guys had something out there about it. I believe that.

Scrolls from 1612 tell you this? Moon?

Eastern Essex county too.

Ha, I was thinking about 2007 the other day....it was a very dry Fall before I sat in my car for over 8 hrs on 93.

Even Brett did better than me in that I don't expect any sympathy...but I'm just keeping it honest.

From a science standpoint, it's rather relieving. In an age where everything is blamed on CC and how things will get "wild"...it's sort of refreshing. I'm not saying CC isn't happening, but as Will says...we have a lot of recent confirmation bias and a quick trigger finger to point at CC.

He has a chance tonight. Biting his nails as we speak.

Some records down south. CLT got to 30. That's dam cold. Frosts into FL while Tolland grows. Love to see it.

I've had a target on my back since '13-'14. But many forget some pretty lousy storms that have not worked out here.

I put you up there with the best of them.

I need my Ginxy decoder ring.

I'm not saying there is zero effect....but the warm or cold pools off the south coast of AK are usually a sign that we have had consistent ridging or troughing. So maybe there is a small effect....but the atmosphere will do what it wants to do. If the overall wave train is oriented to favor a trough or ridge there at 500mb...it will do it. You are correct in that tropical waters and the circulations that develop when deep convection forms, are a much stronger influence on the atmosphere. I still would rather see anomalous warm waters off of AK....but I'm not going to be down and out if the waters there were cooler than normal.

Tamarack reinstalled?

60/58 at BGR. Wow.

39.7 but light frost on rooftops bottom of hill.

Yeah we’ll have to watch that. I have oil, but hopefully it’s not as bad as feared in New England for gas. Oil is bad enough. But you know how it goes. Not in my backyard. There’s actually a nat gas compressor station in N Weymouth. I’m pretty sure that only benefits Maine and mostly Canada lol.

So it looks fairly widespread in uniform.

How much is natural gas per unit in other areas of the country? Gas was pretty cheap up until recently even in New England, so that’s why I am asking. I wonder if the pipeline issue matters a whole lot for us.

Maybe slightly. It’s hard for me to see how waters that are so cool have enough energy to alter hemispheric patterns and have this signal overwhelm others.

It goes both ways though.

I was in Orlando for Erin as luck would have it. Was really cool to experience.

That pool means nothing. It’s a product of the 500mb pattern. That atmosphere is not changing hemispheric patterns because water temps are 53 instead of 49. The NPAC SSTs are as overhyped as the SAI.