CoastalWx

2 years ago. We ski the common.

Yep just barely here as I had a touch of frost. But even here, it’s a freeze 80’ lower than me. My garden is dead though.

I will say the first legit cold shot might be towards day 10. Now we extended summer.

GFS Ginxy Forecasting System has a cold and progressive bias.

Funny to see Ptown in the upper 20s while Kevin is sweating as he jogs. Looks like much of the Cape had a nice frost/freeze.

Wtf?

Actually the EPS has shown signs of the EPO sort of retrograding towards a dateline ridge. That would help keep a -PNA. I think if there is any response to what’s going on in Asia, it would be late month or into December.

That’s still warm for us and it’s pretty mild the entire model run. Yeah sure we’ll have some cooler shots, but I don’t see it starting that early.

Yep.

36 here but pretty frosty. I can see Kevin’s point. At my house my front has a touch of frost, but I can see yards just slightly lower in elevation that are frosted white. As fake as can be.

Don’t you live off the grid and in an area where nobody knows if it’s Taunton or Raynham? Can’t be that many kids.

My grass is a green as it was on Memorial Day. Looks nice with the foliage.

Yep. I mentioned that yesterday. Been a tough stretch for the KFS.

BDL started as straight snow right? LOL.

Hot cocoa at the ski lodge while Bob Marley plays with lemon shandy’s at the 4K picnic tables.

We know what that’s called.

37 here. Light frost on roof tops.

Phillies ftw

34 at MWN. Fake as Fuck.

I thought the end of the EPS, looked even better. At least so far over the last few days we are moving forward, not backwards. Hopefully that continues, but sometimes it does not.

Next two weeks will be pretty mild overall for sure.

LOL, I know...your wording didn't jive with me. Anyways, I think Will covered it. If that ridge in the Pacific gets the Kid 'N Play chopped off haircut, we may be in trouble.

BTW, GFS looks to be nailing the relatively dry Halloween when the euro soaked us yesterday.

Looks like we upgrade GFS on 11/29. I got this from a former coworker. One thing to note: "The GFS overestimates the accumulated snow depth for mixed precipitation events with marginal temperatures and underpredicts for events with very cold temperatures. The undesired snow depth predictions are associated with GFDL microphysics and the improper density used in the land surface model for different frozen precipitation types. In this upgrade, the land surface model is addressed first by providing proper density to various frozen hydrometeors." https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn22-104_gfs.v16.3.0.pdf

Remember at the BWI conference in 2011 he went pant-less in front of Usedtobe talking about the Boxing Day storm?