CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Good chance some spots near 90 for a few days next week. Sumtember.
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There is no way it goes that far south.
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Hurricanes are fickle. The environment has to be pristine for upper end 4-5s.
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Because satellite presentation to me says it has work to do. As others have stated, RI more likely overnight.
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Still work to do. Going to wait until tonight I think for any RI.
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There is a weakness at H5 that to me, is allowing for a move into Apalachee Bay.
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Euro also right where HAFS-A and HAFS-B are. near and just SE of Newport FL.
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I love sleeping in an igloo.
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Looks like HAFS-A and HAFS-B have landfall in Apalachee Bay just near and SE of Newport FL.
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Sounds like a fun town. I fear this being closer to TLH.
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You're not kidding.
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Looking at the potential west or east moves...while I understand a stronger storm may be more responsive to beta drift off to the NE...you can see a weakness extending NW into LA at 500mb. I don't necessarily see a kicker to the east and that weakness concerns me for perhaps a track on the western side of the envelope at landfall.
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Yeah definitely agree with that.
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6z GFS would be a hell of an event for TLH.
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Steinhatchee seems a good place to post up for now. I agree it could be a bit NW of that.
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I feel like it could really take off prior to landfall.
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110kts NHC. I can buy that.
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I'm not buying a 4 either. It has about 24 hours and still trying to get its act together.
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HWRF and HMON aren't my go tos really. HAFS I don't have a lot of experience with.
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A lot of the intensity models haven't strayed from strong 2 borderline 3.
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Drain the main vein to Maines?
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Imagine waking up needing to pee and the sheets are wrapped around you and stuck from sweat. Like a mummy. You try and try to get them off, but time runs out and you just have to pee in the sheets.
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How many pairs of bed sheets have you gone through as you tear them in half from tossing and turnings all night?
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Right. If it’s intensifying right until landfall that allows the strongest winds to mix down.
