CoastalWx

Tblizz

I have that pic of me in wonderful early 80s winter attire somewhere.

Ahh yes I saw that last month. Thanks for that.

Pope has been possessed. Hate to see it.

Ideally what you hope is that as the blocking fades, the Pacific helps take over. Also like Will said, you may see these pulses or brief spikes in ridging again in the same area. I think in our case, we may see it fade, but it could take awhile for something with that magnitude to break down.

There's a lot of details to work out folks. Things look good in the 8-15 day window or so...but this is one piece in the massive snow puzzle.

Yeah, this won't last forever. Usually they still a little longer than modeled though.

Well, you had me look. In clown fashion it's producing snow where it shouldn't be. Move that north.

I have to laugh... Weenies--> "When are the ops going to show me my storms!!!" 12z GFS--> "Shut the fuck up"

We watch the 7th. Still more for NNE...but that has been looking cooler and cooler.

Is there a modal upgrade today? What's being updated.

Gonna be hard to replicate two mega bands separated by 100 miles of arctic dust blown around by 50kt winds lol.

Still could

They’ll be some fluctuations.

Saturday May be the last torch for awhile. Could be low 60s.

That thing on the 6-7 keeps coming in colder. Might be something to watch.

I will say the EPS was close to nudity for all. That’s a sweet look for more widespread stuff.

Yes it’s a good look and I’d take it a million ways from last December. But when asked how I felt about snow, I think it’s wise to approach it more conservatively for you and I. But as I said….I can see how this would be good for almost all of us too. I just don’t have the information in front of me at this moment to make that call.

It's happened before. I am just prepping T-Blizz for the inevitable.

I hope nobody is misconstruing what I’m saying. Nah, that never happens.

If I lived inland I probably would feel pretty good.

Tougher call for these parts. Couple degrees here or there mean a lot. It doesn’t mean I have an issue with what I see, but you need the ingredients to come together and we’ll never see that coming until you get within 5 days or so of any potential. Our potential really starts to go Up climo wise after the 15th or so. Give me a good high and I’ll be bullish.

Really?

My expectations are tempered. Snowfall is so hard to predict and to go AN on the coast in December is a tough thing to do unless it’s very cold. This to me overall is not a very cold look, but certainly will features periods of BN temps. I did say earlier my gut says this is more an interior look….but I don’t expect be shut out. If this is more 2009 and we get pretty darn chilly, then AN snowfall could occur. However, if this becomes something where it’s half recycled exhaust from Labrador and favors in and up, then I’ll enjoy liquid. I think I’d hedge more cooler…..but I’m not confident on big snow here in my hood.

One word describes his posts. Beer.