If we can get the sun to work on this atmosphere for awhile I think it’s a big day. The shear below 700 is extremely impressive. Like Wiz said, lapse rates are meh, so I think you want to maximize solar insolation to get the parcels to lift.
Looks like we get a COC shot early next week and then a return to a wetter and more humid pattern. But the overall temps don’t look that warm depending on how the front stalls.
It looks like things retro a bit heading into August so my guess is that we overall turn warmer as ridging offshore tries to build west a bit.
Every time you say that Janet Jackson reference I think of Steve doing that dance in the video. Ever since that day we posted about him and those “nasty charts.”