Seems like guidance is overall trending wetter. Gfs op looks like an outlier now. Even its ensembles are wetter. But is it a quarter inch of rain or 4” lol. Best chance looks to be NYC to SE MA for heavier stuff. Basically srn SNE. Euro is definitely more north.
Surfaces like metallic bodies are good emitters of long rave radiation. So you can effectively cool a little bit more on a clear and calm night as compared to the environmental temperature. Roofs and grass blades do to a point as well.
It's like trying to say you have snowpack when the grass is greening in 85% of your yard, but you're hanging on to the last patch of crusty glacier behind a Hemlock.