There is truth to what Tip said, a little change here or there is the 00z Euro vs GFS guidance. It won't take much. However, based on what I see.....this is just a bit outside. We really don't have the climo look of a deep H5 trough to bring it closer. I know the Atlantic H5 setup also is unusual, but to me there isn't enough of a capture. NS will take a good hit though.