Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    168,578
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. For NH and Maine, might almost be a downslope issue. There is an inversion aloft, GFS sort of shows some enhancement at 925-850. If you can get sun, that is 50kt+ at the top of the mixing layer.
  2. Maybe a hair ENE on the mean? Could be less crazy western members I guess. Pretty close.
  3. Just need to see what 12z does. So many plans for Saturday. Critical decisions to be made.
  4. So a tad NE of 00z near our latitude. Probably a hair faster and a hair east.
  5. 60+ river east! The wind field will expand, but I don’t see that intense transition near us.
  6. Gustav was a much more potent transitions than this will be. This still have warm core characteristics right up to our latitude.
  7. Looks like a flooder near and north of 84 over the next couple of hours.
  8. Yep agree. I am not ruling out that it comes closer, I just think given everything I see it may tick more east than what the current euro shows. That’s all. Don’t shoot me lol.
  9. I feel like my comment yesterday is working out fine. GFS too Far East and euro too far west. In the end a compromise
  10. 18z euro was coming NW. it was clear to many. Yep the jog west surprised me, but again, this lacks the big features imo for a big region wide impact. Could it happen? I suppose, but I give it a small chance. For the record I haven’t been far off from the NHC so you can bash them too. I don’t forecast with weenie emotions. I’ve been doing this for many many years.
  11. The tropicals and 6z gfs look good to me. 40-50 gusts near BOS. Perhaps 60 cape. Period of rain on coast. Definitely more than I thought two days ago. But I think 18z euro was too amped.
×
×
  • Create New...