CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Those MJO progression charts under forecast how the wave traverses the globe many times. Just keep that in mind. Look at how the previous weeks have progressed. You also get the sense of the progression on those charts past 12/19. I don't believe the wave will stop abruptly near the dateline. I do think we may begin to see a standing low frequency wave develop near the dateline, but it's a bit early to tell.
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Well that's different lol. I embrace the summer wx. I don't mind it. I still hate a "torch" in winter. Makes me want to put turf on my yard with the effing mud.
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You probably snow. There's actually another chance on ensembles later in week too. So if somehow the first one misses or does not come to fruition, there may be a follow up wave.
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It's annoying when it's -5 and bare ground that's for sure. But I don't mind the cold typically.
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When have I complained about the cold?
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That's a decent HP too. Doesn't lift out as the storm approaches. We watch.
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LOL. Oye.
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I don't think Wildcat had that much. It probably was 0.8" lol.
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Scary.
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12/9 won't work for me. I'll try to make 12/2. Might be later in aftn. I'll let you know.
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It’s also not the same pattern as we had last year. There’s only briefly a negative PNA. Just kind of a crappy Pacific.
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I mentioned the PV last week so nothing new there. This is the look I expected before some of the guidance got weenie-ish for a few days. Hit the snooze button for 2-3 weeks I think. Maybe somehow we get a well timed event.
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Wow impressive.
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Nam is pretty warm. I generally don’t like to be on the SE side of that cutoff, but I guess you have a decent airmass to start.
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It’s a good pattern to lay down some nice pack in Canada and down into NNE in the early season. I like seeing that.
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Yep. We’d be torching without it.
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It depends on the environmental pressure, but in general I think 925 is closer to 2500’. I know 850 so maybe closer to 5000. Maybe like 4800’.
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This was the milder PAC look that was modeled before any block. That block is probably helping prevent a very warm look.
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23.9 here for low. Coldest yet.
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Looks like heaviest rain is west.
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Yeah GEFs have a better look. End of EPS would be ok.
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Man let’s 6z gfs haha. Pattern overall looks borderline in SNE going forward. Going to need something well timed. The block peak coincides with a lousy PAC look. I think anything in SNE generally waits until after the first week when the PAC improves somewhat.
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15 MVY
