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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Good question about how big is big. But some of the hi res (even hi res ensembles) are eye opening.
  2. I think a narrow area will get smoked. For sure. I'd say somewhere between EWR-HFD down to HVN and then back towards NYC. First guess. This time of year has seen some of the most prolific rain events I can recall. The combination of still high PWATs to be tapped, but now increased synoptic forcing, can lead to big rain events.
  3. Wait until it's over. You'll get into trouble as it happens.
  4. And with that 6z euro goes south lol. Stein saves taunton.
  5. Torch next week. Ends probably around Columbus Day.
  6. Seems like guidance is overall trending wetter. Gfs op looks like an outlier now. Even its ensembles are wetter. But is it a quarter inch of rain or 4” lol. Best chance looks to be NYC to SE MA for heavier stuff. Basically srn SNE. Euro is definitely more north.
  7. Euro May have the right idea overall vs the gfs earlier.
  8. Heavy heavy troughing. Big cold shot. Probably fake news, but interesting as modeled.
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