Alright well in all seriousness, this probably is interior favored. Maybe deep interior. Just looking at the EPS mean...you have a ridge on the west coast (typically not a suppressed look) and not much confluence to our north. Maybe that nrn stream moves in a little quicker to help prevent that low from taking off due north...but my gut says this is definitely at least an interior event.
Alright well in all seriousness, this probably is interior favored. Maybe deep interior. Just looking at the EPS mean...you have a ridge on the west coast (typically not a suppressed look) and not much confluence to our north. Maybe that nrn stream moves in a little quicker to help prevent that low from taking off due north...but my gut says this is definitely at least an interior event.
I'm just going to sit here and stare at the clouds while imagining a euro and gfs compromise. Hell...throw in a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement along with Israel and Palestine. About all as likely.
I noticed that too...even last night. We've seen the opposite happen so far this year...so maybe the climo back half of Nino actually working in our favor.
Eh, I think we all know the caveats of extrapolating those models. I mean, nobody is saying you absolutely cannot speak of that ever. It's a weather forum amid a very quiet time as it relates to weather events.
Yeah Canadian was interesting in that it almost looked like nrn and srn stream were competing, but ended up a good solution. Like Will said. seems unstable.