CoastalWx

You can get obs here. When it asks for download options I did "tab delimited" Lastly I saved it to my computer and opened it using notepad. You can do it as "comma delimited" and it saves it as an excel spread sheet. The full metar is displayed on the right in one of the columns. You may have to play around a bit. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/download.phtml?network=MA_ASOS

You mean surface wind data? Obs?

Unpredictable weather??

I'd still take that over last year.

Might be able to. Or at worst maybe a few hours of rain Sat evening? Still a tougher call for you.

We take.

6z Euro already folded. My guess is at least pike north is dry this weekend. For the most part.

Looks like the JV Euro is back again. More than likely low is suppressed vs the Euro more aggressive solutions.

How's the Redneck Riviera?

As Wolfie said, last season was a 3rd year Nina. That was characterized by a very strong -PNA (deep troughing out west) and helped overwhelm anything positive we could get from a -NAO. When that -NAO did form, the cold pushed west through Canada and then south into the Plains. Nino's typically can produce Miller A events (storms originating near the Gulf of Mexico) and moving up the coast. These events can hit New England good, but they can also occlude off the Delmarva and leave us with a banded mess of precip. They also can form Miller B events (redevelopers off the Mid Atlantic) when the nrn stream of the jet interacts with the subtropical jet. Miller Bs tend to be our bread and butter in New England. Regardless of the type of storm, Nino's tend to favor coastal storms vs Nina. Here is a site that lets you compare the 3-month avg of SSTs for Nino 3.4 region ( (5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW)). You can see we are well behind 2015 which is good. https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php

Typically weak ninos that are more west based with their temp anomalies are snowier, especially SNE. Mod to even strong can be good, especially closer to moderate. You generally don’t want things to be focused farther east off of Peru. When that happens you can get quite the subtropical jet which can bring the precip, but the cold typically is cut off or non-existent.

64 here. Nice day.

I mean weather will always humble us, so I suppose there is a non-zero chance it would be worse. But based on the current forecasts for Nino, I'd bet against it.

Might be able to stein and salvage a weekend. Especially pike north. We pray.

That would make sense. I think I had 16 or 17". Terrible.

A double digit snowfall? From one storm? I didn’t get more than a 3” snowfall.

Won’t get worse there. It really hasn’t been worse there.

I don’t see any trend to slide south recently. Many have crept north.

That’s a Miller B redeveloper though.

It’s a blocky, Fall pattern. Zero say on winter.

Are we serious? Lol.

The Deep South with have their frost next week before most of us. Winter is over.

No wonder why Ray gets mad if he gets less than 8”. It won’t even cover the grass.

Sounded Sandy like.

These crisp mornings feel good. Foliage just kind of meh near the Lakes region. Some color, but a lot of sticks or some green from the Oaks. Definitely didn’t seem that vibrant as in previous years and a lot seemed to come down.