CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Pattern looks more active down the road. Just leftover Stein now.
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These were big boys too. I think that might be the most impressive part of Milton.
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Octsteiner. Plenty of rain to come in winter so don’t fear.
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46 lame degrees
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10 weeks until days get longer.
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Many models had strong winds up around 925 or so just NW of the center. Those come with a rapid wind shift right into the east coast of FL later on.
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89kts SRQ
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As this transitions, you can see how the massive convergence N of the center and extended NE is going to absolutely soak I-4 corridor. Basically like a stalled warm front where all this juice is getting forced up and over the boundary.
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They definitely dodged a bullet regarding the surge. That would have been catastrophic.
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It’s going to go near Sarasota it seems. Give or take
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Yeah I don't see that really being reduced much at this point.
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It should continue to weaken from here on out. But as many noted, the wind field will continue to expand.
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Winds might be more NNW there which would help vs due west or southwest.
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HRRR with a real nasty swath of winds coming in on the back side of this right into Fort Myers from the west. That will certainly pile up water.
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Just saw that. Impressive. They’ve been soaked. I’m still Steining….yeah yeah yeah…
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45.7. Meh
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Early 18z tropical models tugged a bit south. Would put Port Charlotte to Fort Myers in a bad spot.
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Milton was probably ready to take off earlier, but perhaps a bit of a hostile environment relatively speaking. But as usual in weather, once you tweak a few things here or there, it can be off to the races. So in this case, perhaps a bit less shear and a higher RH environment was all it needed. I know models did show strengthening.
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Decent move ESE too. But the eye rapidly clear out. He's going to town again.
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At least the last two weeks have had some tropical interests to spice things up...but good lord the last two years have featured total meteorological ennui.
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So effing boring.
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Those tracks would be real bad for the TBA.
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Continued degradation on the N and NW side, so some shear and dry air impinging on it for now.
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Yeah I guess the takeaway is that north of the nrn eyewall will see significantly less water rise.
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Yeah but you need to factor in the size of the eye, but just the “center.” Should have stated that.
