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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Further east than 6z, which fits the pattern. My guess is they'll get a decent slug with the front like other guidance shows.
  2. Basically the whole system is more progressive than modeled two days ago. We no longer have two real distinct and separate s/w's. We know that happens in winter when always talk about which one will be the primary driver. That said..I don't see why someone can't pull 2-4" near the front and than 0.5" to 1" further east with renegade cells.Friday offers another chance. People need to see the forest through the trees and recognize the pattern change to more active. Stein is gone.
  3. You need to move that image of him over BOS to the SW over TAN.
  4. So because the model has shat the bed some many times this summer, we can see more of it. it's not the king like it used to be. We'll see how it does this winter.
  5. Since when did 0.5-1" of rain get scoffed at? Are we expecting the deficit be gone in a matter of hours? These next two weeks are active.
  6. I feel like models are sort of differing how to handle that second vort that was supposed to be separate, and now phasing in.
  7. Looks like 3K NAM is a little more wet with lots of cells ahead of main line. Regular NAM has like 70kts at 925 over ern areas.
  8. I thought it went to 84 hrs already by changing the URL.
  9. 1" over parched ground is a lot better than 4" in a matter of hours.
  10. Maybe ctrl and ern areas too. You borderline.
  11. Definitely a wind issue and maybe spinner Wednesday.
  12. Weenies. I don't care if you had 8" or 0.08 by Friday...he is dead. The whole pattern is changing over the next two weeks.
  13. Might be some sneaky downpours today in SE MA and the Cape. Maybe Steinblizz gets into it.
  14. Yeah I called that one. I'll be happy with an inch. Pattern is active. West wads best for only the first wave. Recent guidance has sort of blended the second wave into that one.
  15. NAM is actually a high wind thread and possible spinner threat ctrl and ern areas Wednesday.
  16. Stein may be saying not so fast, in ern areas. Definitely looks like the second low may not form as earlier modeled. Guidance still is sort of all over.
  17. I’d be thrilled with 1”, especially since the pattern going forward looks active. Don’t need it all at once.
  18. Kevin washed away on the nam. Tblizz bitches.
  19. Dayboat tuna for porch front?
  20. And then lots of guidance seems to be festering something off the SE and/or GOM after.
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