We have talked about that storm quite a bit. Is pretty much ranked up there with the most awe inspiring storms of all time. Needham was ground zero for that band of TSSN.
Yeah nothing is definite, but if you think about it for return rate, I think the other two examples would go down a lot sooner than a widespread late October 6-24"+ storm. And oh yeah...gave DC-NYC-BOS snow as well.
Certainly not as widespread. We may see a narrow area get a siggy October snow, but the widespread nature of that storm like will not be matched in our lifetime.
That was a strange event. Dropped 7 degrees in 10 minutes and started straight as snow where I was. Very convective with colder air working in from N and NE of all places.
As long as we have troughing near CA you certainly have a shot. Weeklies look like they want to continue that, although the signal weakens week4..but looks pretty good.
TWC went out of their way to downplay it. That's why you can't always hog one model and my argument to Kevin back on Saturday about the GFS. Yes the GFS can be wrong, but in this case along with a little bit of pattern recognition...I thought going 24-36 for NYC was a bit much.
I would slow the suicides on the hi res stuff. Non hydrostatic models may be too QG theory based. IOW, they might be trying to put low pressure near convection like a TC. Sometimes they are right, but not sure here.