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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I’m not saying to toss it. I’m curious if other higher spots nearby have similar departures.
  2. ORH -0.5, PVD, 0.5, BDL 1.3, BOS 1.8. Haven’t looked at any COOPs but ORH and BOS stand out. We know BOS issues, but anything supporting ORH?
  3. Looks like a -EPO and east based- NAO after day 10 on the EPS. A bit of a SE ridge too just for Tip’s gradient flow.
  4. I don't think that bias exists as much, but anecdotally it does seem to happen from time to time.
  5. I mean 50mph winds against foliated trees will take them down for sure. In addition to what Tip said, we seemed to have a downslope event in these areas. The lower elevations on the west side of ORH hiils into the CT valley all had some decent damage. Unlike winter events that have strong LLJs as well, we didn't have a cold airmass to work with. The cold air allows for the stable wedge to form and therefore prevents mixing.
  6. I buy. We -PNA. Maybe -NAO gives us ridging to the north?
  7. 38. here. Gonna have to wait until Novie to get below 32.
  8. This looks to be a classic -PNA pattern where models are too quick to bring in the cooler air. Could be pretty warm towards end of month.
  9. Kevin has caused a lot of speculation lately with those innuendos.
  10. You see it even in ensembles too. If I see a ridge in the east during the summer with a Sonoran connection, I'm going to take those temps up.
  11. I think even in the industry, that is catching on. The H5 anomalies are a better prognosticator of surface departures vs actual model surface temp departures.
  12. I thought about those GFS runs that had that. LOL. Woof. This place would become unreadable.
  13. I think this probably becomes more of a confirmation bias. IOW, if one did not get much out of it, they probably get tired of reading or hearing about it. That doesn't diminish the event though. It was a significant event for many from CT to ME.
  14. Sounds like some towns like Salem/Danvers, and several towns on s shore have a lot more work to do. School out and roads still closed.
  15. Oh I know. I meant that it's still a chilly look for us even with some H5 ridging.
  16. I expected more to mix at that point as 65kts was over my fanny. It took that sling shot meso to pull the trigger. Otherwise, it would have been just 40-50 stuff.
  17. No, that's not warm at all. That trough position and a -NAO is perfect, but that would work as shown.
  18. I was about to meh the storm at 1:30am. At 2:30am by wife was freaking out.
  19. It was also more substantial to my E and SE by only several miles. Saw 87mph at a school in Marshfield.
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