CoastalWx

That low is gonna go to pound town near ACK I think.

Yeah Ukie really is flat. Nice battle here.

I'm just having fun, but something a little more amped certainly is on the table.

PF warming up to post pics of snow covered Subaru outbacks at Stowe.

Pope dishing out the 10 commandments.

Yeah develops over Killington LOL. Pretty good consistency from 6z. Oye.

The streak is a helper for sure. Either way, I can't complain just dusting off the weenie cobwebs this early in the season. Feels good.

But you don't want that too amped either. The cold is pressing in, not established already. If you get the low to develop sooner or stronger, that would be wagons north.

Yeah NAM would probably be rain to start. It's possible many areas start as liquid since the cold is moving in, not established. It's early to get into details, but this smells of one of those events. Probably start as a 36F rain and end as snow in the U20s,

On the EPS it does elongate at 50mb, but overall is rather cold too. IOW, it's stable.

These are cold outbreaks of yore...like colonists killing of 1620 type stuff.

I can't be upset in a November event. Climo is hostile for sure. But man that December event...I was really upset. It was this weird tongue of warmth that pivoted over me. Shit, even Bob turned to snow before me.

It's probably good I was talking to you in that late December event. It was like Samaritan's hotline....Will keeping me on the phone, telling me not to do this.

Kids do adjust, for me...it's having no time for them to play outside when it's dark at 4:30. I get home, pick up kids, and try to get dinner ready. It's nice to have them burn off some energy while I get that ready. I'm all for later daylight in the late aftn. Wasn't like that prior to kids..lol.

Lots of fake cold.

Will, trying to understand what you mean.....are saying the earlier light gets the kids up vs before?

Hoth may have a better shot than, say, me. He may have issues more just aloft as it doesn't quite cool 925-850, but NE winds here off 55F SSTs would need a hell of a cold airmass. Should be a nice CF near BOS.

In comparing 12z euro with 00z euro, The nrn stream seemed more progressive to me vs 12z. There also was a kicker. However, there may be some subtle signs of the srn energy helping cyclogenesis near ACK. In any case, I didn't see any big changes either way....just some subtle things that really matter since the profile is borderline in SNE for a time. All about the deets, baby. Still need to iron it out. At the very least, some rain to snow is likely inland even if not all snow. You can't ask much more than that prior to mid November.

Still yet to go below 32. I think longest since I moved here. We wait.

Might be some warm members there on the EPS. There’s still a chance this comes further north so there is that.

Baby crying on the changing table covered in poo, while Ray straps on snow pants and tiptoes through neighbors yard measuring.

Yeah I think it’s coming. Not locked, but the fact that the 6z excrement started to get a clue, adds confidence.

Second weenie run in a row. Some ensemble support for that too, but that’s is clown range

The fact the ICON is mentioned is disturbing.

I have bare oaks and some that have green. Variety of species that drives me nuts.