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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Well as many said, We don’t know how far SW the push will get.
  2. Yeah that’s definitely a pelt fest in areas that were borderline snow.
  3. Seems like euro is ticking warmer aloft at 12z and now 18z.
  4. The western IO region will persist. Looks like we have a decent January if MJO is right, after first week.
  5. This also may be a good example of models adjusting as we get closer to the event. Adjust to better or for worse, but as they assimilate with current observations they should have an idea starting tomorrow.
  6. RPM is sort of weenie here. 2-4” followed by hours of pellets. Temp forecasts are tricky here. Not ideal to CAA off the ocean, but it’s so cold aloft that it might slowly drop temps to near freezing at the surface. Type of deal where it’s like 33 here and 30 on top of blue hill.
  7. Yeah that is what’s making this complicated. It’s a rare event. Look at 925-850. It actually starts to turn NE and advert cold air in! That’s just something that doesn’t happen. Wicked HP
  8. Yeah that’s when blocking would be nice.
  9. I think we’ll have -PNA tendencies for awhile.
  10. It’s definitely a gradient look, but there is plenty of money in the bank across Canada.
  11. Don’t hold me to it because if your 32.1 and rain for a large part..I won’t be surprised.
  12. EPS actually may be a hair colder vs the op.
  13. For Kevin and CT, the airmass is coming in from the NE. It’s not entrenched. So, it’s possible this isn’t a big deal for a large part of the state. I don’t have enough knowledge to say if Kevin is 31 or 33, but there’s a real possibility only a very small portion of the state sees something siggy for ZR. I do think he’ll be below freezing though for a good chunk.
  14. Yeah sell those snow maps. Might be a lot of sleet issues with that.
  15. Maybe just a tad aloft. I didn’t see anything notable near surface. More juice it seems too on this run. You’re going to have wobbles from here on out, but certainly a chance of tugs to the warmer side aloft by just a bit.
  16. SPC href pretty icy in CT. Caveat is that 48 hrs out probably pushes how useful it is.
  17. Tippy tip of MA there definitely best spot for snow, although you will be colder where you are.
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