CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Newburyport ftw?
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This area as usual tough to figure out.
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Lot of post holiday anger in here.
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Yeah I think closer to 3:1 usually? But, if it’s the sleet combines with those crap crystals that occur when the airmass aloft is cold, it’s sometimes closer to 5:1 I think.
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Canadian is a sleet bomb for Boston. Wow. Might even be close to isothermal snow.
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I feel like you’ll get sleet too. You’ll probably get some 34F sleet for awhile Monday. lots of convection modeled too with this down south. I don’t expect the repeat we had two weeks ago, but we’ll need to watch how it unfolds.
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Basing off the whole look. Just talking it through. Still time to work out deets.
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Kevin will get ice, but I wonder if sleet takes away some of his damaging ice QPF?
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Yeah could even be a lot of SNPL too.
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I’m not sure if it can get that cold where you are? You may get close.
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Those watch maps sort of take away from what could be a real impact in NE MA. I understand the watch is for ice, but like a few mets I know said, it sort of undermines the impact there.
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You may even get sleet. Wondering if ice impact is SW of you
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I don’t think freezing rain is that big of a deal there. You’ll be snow to start and go over to pellets with probably crap ice crystals mixed in with the sleet. Maybe you get a glaze at the end? But I don’t see it as a huge deal. The ZR anyways.
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Oh yeah it’s definitely going to torch especially 850-700 or so. No argument there. My Point is that I would keep my eye on that second part where he is. That’s all.
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For nrn ORH county it should be cold enough near the surface and temps aloft cool so that HubbDave could see it flip back before ending. I wouldn't expect 6" but he could sneak an inch or two. Obviously this part is more questionable.
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The NAM really pushes the cold pretty far to the SW. More of a stout push vs 6z.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
CoastalWx replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
How would that occur? Is it a deep water well? -
My call won't be far off. I'll ignore Logan, but many sites will creep near normal into tomorrow.
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Well for a majority in SNE, yes. And I said has a shot. It's not a lock, but 2-3" could happen.
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It very well might. Anything important and meaningful is after 1/7 or so.
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Not much overall has changed. Seems like biggest ice threat is W and S of places like ORH, but still questions to sort out. Looks like Essex county, esp near Ray has a shot of several inches of snow. It appears that the trend of the WAA thump is not as robust so that may keep areas from truly damaging ice? Going to have to wait and see on that. Secondary low looks to track near the canal. That may flip people like Dave back to snow.
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Better chance of IP or even some SN.
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Toss gfs temps and clown maps always.
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How come you get excited for clown maps when we say not to, but get all down when the gfs shows you in the 30s while we say you’ll be below freezing.
