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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I didn’t see a huge difference at 18z on the gfs.
  2. Kind of funny that cstl spots may actually be ok because cold is advecting in from NE. So our friend at Cape Anne could get more frozen then 1000ft mt tolland. I don’t mean ZR as frozen.
  3. Well ideally yes. But it’s pretty stout and dumps a lot of cold in Canada. So, we may be prone to huggers, but I can’t complain too much.
  4. Eps looking good in long range. Still a bit of a -PNA but heights in the SE aren’t crazy high.
  5. This is not even close to last winter. Even areas that are low in snow Dept. I’m not that high up on the scale, but people easily forget how bad it sucked except for one storm in mid November.
  6. Canadian is a paint peeler. Looks like snow near NH border on north but precip tough time making it past MHT through he 78.
  7. Except with a hell of a lot more snow so far.
  8. Again how does this happen when freezing precip is in the forecast?
  9. If you get one for heating you need to do it right. You don’t want to have it running when power comes back on after being off. If it’s for just regular appliances, that’s not that big of a deal.
  10. Well the gfs cutter idea is gone, so euro won that. You’re basically arguing about who is right or wrong within a few degrees. That’s tough to say at the moment. I like Will’s post yesterday about wanting some more cold pushes before this inevitably ticks north. We’ll see what 12z guidance does today, but I’d like to see another 00z euro like look. I don’t expect more than a cold rain with a few pellets here locally and on the coast. Room for change though.
  11. 35 and good wx persist. Day 9 Or so of good weather overall. A December to remember.
  12. Too bad the pattern blows. Big high nosing in with low off Delmarva and we can’t even buy a widespread frozen event. Normally that’s a lock, but not with a putrid airmass ahead of this.
  13. 6z eps doesn’t have much snow at all with round 2 in SNE.
  14. Wait until SFO is bounced out of the PS.
  15. Still looks like we get cold and potentially stormy before we ride the gradient later in the 11-15 day. That goes well into the weeklies too. My guess is expect snow and cutters, but hope a little 94 magic overcomes lol.
  16. Kevin depending on the solution, it could be nothing for you or icy. You are further removed from the cold source. Like 2008. Keep that in mind. This isn’t like the air mass is entrenched which is how you get your icing. It’s advecting in.
  17. Nam wasn’t that cold and 6z euro came in a little warmer. I would keep things in check for now but I think at the least some ice is a concern inland near and north of pike. I suppose sleet as well.
  18. Gfs with the stubborn mild solution reminds me of the last event. Not really sold on the euro quite yet despite it being colder.
  19. NAM starts to bring in the cold from the NE in its clown range.
  20. Too early to get specific. Interior Nrn CT under the gun perhaps, but it could be cold rain there too.
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