CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Some Wilton Felder on the GFS op.
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That's more likely.
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Part of that bias has come from the EPO region. Models have been too happy to torch AK only to back off, hence the bias.
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Kev gone. And now he's driving all around New England. You wonder if there is a DC sniper repeat.
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Boston continues to have issues with their sensor. It would probably be good to use a blend of other first order stations and KMQE to help verify.
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And 40s tomorrow. Marchuary continues.
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Crack is bad, kehd.
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I give you a 100% chance of failure.
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JFC give it the eff up.
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I disagree. The Vortx will be in Canada. Cold is not the issue.
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The EPO, is the Pacific. That looks fine and the cold will be there to tap into. The problem may be the negative PNA and southeast ridging.
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Enjoy a few showers
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Might be time to just say this is not our winter.
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I can’t stay up for that, nooooo.....no can do.
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Just sleep through next week.
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She gone on euro. Back to s/w effing it up in MO again.
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Yeah the Tropospheric PV is in Hudson Bay as modeled, so that is nothing like early January.
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Everyone is annoyed so I don’t blame them. At this point you just sort of roll with things and hope we are on the good side. There is absolutely frigid air in Canada during the 11-15 day.
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It’s the old Jan 96 and Feb 03 thinking.
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I tend to think if anything guidance is too weak with SE ridges when these cold dumps. It's certainly a gradient with frigid air nearby.
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I don't know. Not always.
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A -EPO always has that possibility. Just because a smoothed out mean doesn't show it 14 days out, does not mean it's a fail. When is the last time we had those anomalies that were modeled all across the CONUS with a -EPO? Almost never. I'm pretty sure we even said it wasn't a perfect look because it could cause a gradient. That is what we will have. Why do you think I joke around with your -EPO hard on? It's playing with fire, hopefully we are on the good side.
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Nothing has changed. That look always fosters a -PNA possibility. Take what you can get. It’s certainly no pig, in fact the opposite.
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No this really has been steady. The ridging in the Pacific has not change. -PNA always risk with EPO. So is overrunning too.
