CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I didn't see this mentioned, apologies if someone did, but the piece of the TPV (tropospheric polar vortex) is definitely pressing more into the area north of the Great Lakes. It appears that is helping to ever so flatten the flow a bit and force the second wave a tad SE.
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12z GEM colder too compared to 00z.
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Cooler than 0Z down here, but still looks out to lunch with that depiction.
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Subtle s/w distinctions like shape and phasing mean a ton. But I wonder if that cold press formed by weak meso lows are getting into guidance and “adjusting” some low placements further south. Still can change, however.
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That’s a nice s/w tightening up. Actually almost two of them, for Friday. I kind of like seeing that. It’s not doing it further west on the nam, which is good.
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Nam looks interesting
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no offense of course.
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Never made an outlook. Too much voodoo.
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Like Kevin's Jan 20 return to winter.
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I like how the GFS has upper 30s to near 40 practically to Sunday River on Friday.
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We sand bag.
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You almost wonder if we can tighten up the s/w for Friday and get the low to develop quicker, it may end on a snowier note.
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6z Euro with a distinct meso low and flip to snow at the end, even near the coast. I think verbatim that would be a tucky look for at least NE MA.
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It still could be warm for all of us. We’ll know more today hopefully. The thing with Friday is that even if we aren’t getting warm, the cold air may be sort of stale with the true cold below 32, further north near NH border. That will depend on whether or not we can get a good north wind going with any meso low passage.
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Yeah. It’s already a tricky setup when you have a western trough. Sometimes it’s oriented such that you cash in with SWFE, and sometimes it’s more of a deep trough that ejects enough s/w energy for cutters.
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Kevin I think we all mentioned that the setup was tenuous. I even said yesterday that I wasn’t sure if it would be progressive given the overall H5 look. It still could be more progressive, I don’t know......but right now I’m not sure I would favor it.
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I would enjoy a 96 style cutter. It’s been boring AF.
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They were gradient. 50 miles means everything. I didn’t see them as bad in New England.
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Boundary is oozing south as the final wave develops with the strongest H5 energy. If that thing could drop another 50 miles you'd have north of the pike getting interesting wx.
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It still was rain to Maine.
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Yeah a bit of a south shift would get CNE in the snow game.
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Time to sandbag? Lots of rain.
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Euro is looking like your wish.
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Definitely a warmer solution. Rains to Maines.
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Bit of a better front end at least. Pretty good energy in TX awaiting the round later Thursday so we'll see what that does.
