CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Ukie not bad at all actually. Some snow to begin and end.
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Ukie once again is rather wedgy with low pressure basically hanging along S coast and light NE flow inland.
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Might as well seed.
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This winter continues to Chun-Li kick any winter enthusiast in the crotch.
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LOL
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We used to get snowstorms.
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I still think someone may have good ice, but not sure if it's in SNE or especially down by you. It's still early though. I'm just hoping for a few inches before it's washed away.
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Feel like it will be tough to avoid a milder solution. That's a deep trough in the Midwest. I know you have meso low potential and what not, but when I see the 500 look...that would support mild air aloft at the very least.
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-PNA rules the roost which means we will be prone to cutters as well.
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Ukie is probably the most wedgy looking. Very complicated setup for late week inland.
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Euro more amped up too like the rest of the guidance.
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An ice look is just that. Shows potential for freezing rain and/or sleet. Nobody is talking amounts, nor should they. Just because it’s an ice look does not mean it has to be catastrophic. It could be a glaze too, although verbatim someone would get a good amount I think.
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“Winter nearing its final stages snow doesn’t mean as much??” Seriously?
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WTF?
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Yeah that ain’t happening verbatim
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Hell of a wintry run there.
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Decent airmass ahead of it so it certainly could happen. Who knows, maybe this goes weaker and East too. Regardless, this week was never really a lock. It’s afterwards.
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Yeah. You don’t need a 970 low for tons of precip if you have gulf moisture overrunning.
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Yeah it’s down the drain there for sure after snow to start.
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EPS looks fairly similar to the op. Hopefully we can get that a little more east. Not always a guarantee with the trough orientation, but maybe it will be progressive.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
CoastalWx replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Yeah that popped in my feed too. That date. -
I think initially this isn’t a progressive look as the trough digs. You have a Hudson Bay trough and a rather deep latitudinal trough extending from it. So that will try to promote a more amped solution. However the ridge starts to buckle out west and multiple s/w troughs enter the picture to help keep this a massive stem winder. I still feel more could go wrong vs right in this setup, but the real lack of phasing helps.
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It’s back to being positively tilted as Will showed in the images. Don’t have an intensity fetish here for this one. You want weaker and more strung out for a colder solution. Something stronger will guarantee flooding the region with warmth. I’m sure we’ll see solutions varying around here. Naturally you favor more interior and NNE, but many areas may start as snow.
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Maybe setting up to change to snow at end.
