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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. MAN EPS like stalls it practically over the Cape area.
  2. I mean it may start to get baroclinic features at our latitude, but you also don't have this deep trough ready to infuse the dynamics needed for ET transitioning. Even Sandy was practically tropical at landfall.
  3. Would be done by then, but airlines can march to the beat of their own drum.
  4. Also FWIW, I don't see much in the way of ET transitioning. This looks like it keeps its tropical-like characteristics.
  5. GFS would be a lot of 60-75mph gusts even on the west side through SE MA near into BOS with all that rain. Pretty wild.
  6. Yeah just want an inch. Still fighting fungus on lawn.
  7. Euro slinging into SE MA/BOS area.
  8. Those rains look more to be in SNE. Maybe CT on ENE?
  9. You’ll get 3” this morning probably. Maybe a bit more.
  10. I’ll take 30G50 and 7” of rain. We pray.
  11. Still early though. We are talking like 5 days out
  12. Seems more realistic than 12z.
  13. NAM is more like sugarcane vs hurricane. Weak.
  14. 18z models moved NW which was obviously going to happen.
  15. Warm water exists not far off the coast. But yeah it will weaken it eventually. Slow moving also means less shear which will help maintain strength. Maybe this can move like 15-20kts per hour if it gets caught up, but this isn't a typical SNE strike with an accelerating system. I still would lean not as far west as GFS or other models.
  16. This will not haul. Option not there.
  17. That too, but not sure NNW to pike through CT can happen?
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