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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Or perhaps guidance like the op run is just not going to figure out this s/w dance for a couple of days and we’ll have some more run to run changes.
  2. It does try to get a lobe going under us near hr 114, but the airmass is so toasted with a shitty high sort of retreating again. So basically we’ll need that lobe to really eject off to the east, and then you hope winds turn NE-N with cooler air in the low levels and thickness crashing and height falls aloft. Not always a good combo to bank on
  3. This place makes me Laugh. Hopefully we get more to track soon.
  4. It’s really warm too. I just don’t like the s/w as you said.
  5. Needs some work with the warm tongue above it, but some more sleet and snow for Dave and Ray. Hippy too.
  6. Not really south for tomorrow system. Just comes in faster and mid levels a bit cooler.
  7. That’s how I see it for near 90 in north? I’m not sure it matters much in CT. Not for a two day event anyways.
  8. You’re struggling for half inch QPF in some areas and a 6-9 hr burst of precip with light stuff after. You really need a much longer duration.
  9. This was always more of a pike north issue and even so, that area won’t have huge impacts to things like trees wires etc. My thoughts have not changed for days.
  10. Huh? This is no big deal 84 on down. I don’t see a multi day ice threat with crippling effects. And also, not sure why this was a competition.
  11. Ray may get his wet snow crusher on the ukie and gfs para. We
  12. An interesting qpf distribution near the center. Probably a little more widespread than it shows.
  13. Seems like the trend overall is colder. Just need to get a good initial thump.
  14. It could be icy there? The problem I think with you is that winds sort of go more east and it warms up quite a bit aloft. So you’ll glaze, but then probably go to a 33 rain as we don’t have a good mechanism to keep the cold in.
  15. Reggie is pretty cold. Man 2010 MLK meltdown cutoff there.
  16. Ray might benefit from latitude. Maybe a little snow and sleet pack? He says he doesn’t care, but he’ll be texting us pics of his yard lol.
  17. It’s a crappy pattern, but getting better. You still can get snow in a crappy pattern with our climo.
  18. Looks like some snow tonight and then again from whatever happens 1-2. Much needed.
  19. Too bad the high retreats because that would be a classic SWFE. Pretty much has the classic ingredients, except it rapidly warms aloft in SNE.
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