CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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That’s the 12z GEFS.
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Can’t say this is what a typical Niña December looks like.
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Yep. Thought the same.
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Wouldn’t be far from climo in my area lol.
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It will take awhile. Looked like the trough was lifting out......perhaps eventually being replaced by dateline ridging if we do get forcing into the maritime continent. That would get Canada cold, but also force a SE ridge perhaps at some point in December. Tough to say and always dangerous to extrapolate.
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We outside. We deal. No inside. Maybe Friday.
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Looks like a white knuckle drive for Brian early Monday?
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I think 50/50. Models all Over but I’m optimistic.
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That’s how I feel as well.
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Yeah we know MJO diagnostics themselves can vary from guidance, but if you look at the chart with the VP potential....you can see the IO has been active. You’d think that if we shift the easterlies near the dateline like it shows, maybe it migrates towards the maritime contingent or even better.....further east?
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Other than a small interruption at the end of October, you can see we’ve had a pretty strong underlying signal in the IO.
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Just poking around, maybe the easterlies near the dateline and MJO trying to move east will shuffle things around a bit.
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It’s definitely been a trend. Frankly, I haven’t looked deeply as to what is driving it, but this wasn’t just one run.
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GEFS and EPS trying to a little more Aleutian trough look and pumping up the PNA. We need to build a little more cold in Canada, but that’s been a subtle trend I’ve noticed.
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I don’t think many teachers want to go full person and supported remote.
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He better be careful, he might turn over and see that it’s Pete’s long flowing locks with his AK buddy.
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AK is due for some blues. If anything else the stats point to that.
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Well it’s not a Niña look. Whatever is causing it. It is a sucky look.
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It’s all about location. But given how guidance looks, no worries this December.
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#fakesnow
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So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay.
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Weeklies suck. Not much else to say.
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What climate regime?
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I think it’s just playing with fire. Yeah if it’s properly placed sure, but more often than not it dumps into the Plains and it’s a mess for us. I’ll take a nice and sharp +PNA.
