CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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True
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NAM wants that low pretty far west on Tuesday. Probably would be ice inland.
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They'll be games with the CF fluctuating...probably close by here is my guess. Any little wave or weakness on the front will oscillate that.
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Meh. -PNA and questionable -NAO. I'd rather have that PAC ridge move east closer to the west coast.
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EPS seemed a little less amped for this one.
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Glad the spread sheets show the Ukie in 2nd place for nailing a trough over Islamabad.
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BTW, the GFS op shows you what happens without a -NAO. Just an example.
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Just saw Ukie. Too bad the model sucks, but we hope it’s right.
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Spare us the cutter like that video. Which only goes to show you anybody could have done punk rock in the 80s.
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Looks rainy on GFS. Ice inland.
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Wilton is playing.
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Every model and run just is clueless. Trying to figure out the s/w dance is difficult.
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Looks like a battle between arctic air trying to move in, and the low developing over the south at the end of the NAM.
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Spooked? I laid out the reasons. I can't change that, not even nasty Ginx.
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Good summary and goes back to your post about the first storm more amped or less amped based on the euro and gfs. Leads to the opposite effect on the following storm.
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A collapse would be a furnace which I don't see. I'd rather the dateline ridge move east. Otherwise we'll need good blocking.
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I guess we hope for that if 2/17 just gets to be a mess.
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Need to rip a few jazz tunes.
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6z EPS has lots of sleet in SNE. Could be quite interesting.
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17th. 6z EPS only goes to hr 144.
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Sleet fest for SNE on the EPS.
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Hopefully we go back to less of a mess next week. I admit I got a little sad when seeing that with the longer range.
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Will must have sparked up Lillies of the Nile when viewing the euro.
