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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. It changes after the 5th, so that is correct.
  2. Yeah prior to 1950 maybe this would be a 40F rain instead of 41.5F.
  3. Pretty classic look after the 13th on the EPS. Big cold shot into Plains and spreading out. I feel like that's when chances increase much more for SNE. It doesn't mean we can't get something prior, but that's a look where I'd feel more comfortable...at least for my area. Interior could be sooner.
  4. I see this as a successive transition. IOW, we aren't done with cutters or messy events. I just think it will take awhile. It finally looks like the second week and beyond are more favorable, but I hope people don't expect something on 12/8, or the start of the second week, especially SNE.
  5. Evan is ready to be shoved into the firebox of the Cog Railway.
  6. Phin is melting too. Hate to see it.
  7. Wait until next weekend, if nothing is imminent.
  8. Swamps around here still not filled. Stein still leaving his earmarks.
  9. It’s pretty much crack for weenies. Hence all of them posting about “first week of December.” They all came in here last week with a powder face while scratching their neck.
  10. Actually 12z NAM may have a convective threat.
  11. Yeah it’s got potential with that look. Potentially overrunning as you said, but can’t work the details out this early. Like Will said yesterday, it’s good to have the choices between something like the EPS and GEFS.
  12. Keep following those Twitter weenies
  13. GEFS and EPS continue to hold their respective solutions in the long range. Hopefully we end up closer to the GEFS.
  14. Definitely a potent storm Monday night. Lots of rain and wind it appears. Seems to be slowing a bit on guidance so central and ern areas may get quite the soaking.
  15. Same for rest of us most likely. After the first week hopefully.
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