CoastalWx

That’s a good point about dropping flakes in a near 32 layer that is thousands of feet thick.

The only saving grace is that there is not a SE ridge modeled. It's more zonal...so there will be a bit of a gradient. It means that anything would need to e well timed. Hence, not terrible. But meh.

Any deck pics?

That’s my guess too. Mentioned earlier about the DGZ coinciding with high terrain. I think longitude did hurt. Absolutely.

Come back to New England.

I think we had decent qpf here after 5. I know we had a big WAA event in early January 2010 where we had 12” on NW winds, so it can happen. I just think it was a garbage airmass and when you need all the pieces lining up for it to even snow, it’s probably not going to end well.

On Sunday? I think so. IMO.

We cut

Too many get sucked in.

I think it’s recent confirmation bias. Maybe you are referring to marginal event busts? I wonder if you guys were sucking exhaust maybe? It seemed like anybody downwind of high terrain didn’t do well. I saw the signal at Winni and purposely did not go there. I knew it would suck there despite my son begging me lol. Being downwind of high terrain in a marginal airmass can suck.

It can happen with a marginal airmass. I think many said it has big bust potential.

Must look dam wintry if you have more than 8” of this snow. Congrats who got that. Should stick around for a little while.

The weenie maps just don’t take anything important really into consideration. I hate them lol. I thought it would pound in metro west, but it did not. I do think the lift into the DGZ was only confined to a narrow area associated with the higher terrain coincidentally (I think I even said it’s possible this could be a storm that really differs from low elevation to high elevation). Therefore if it doesn’t pound dendrites, it is tough to latent cool to near 32. That’s probably a big reason. If I was on air or a NWS met, I would have busted there for sure. Hell I busted on 1-3 for BOS lol. Congrats on the little one!

.25” here.

Just a few flakes to show for these bands. Figured it may be meh here, but it’s a rusty coat hanger operation performed in the combat zone back in 1976.

I wonder if ORH is warm at times. Even Kevin got to 32 and Will said it was 32 at winter hill.

We tried to tell you

We all said toss 10:1. But those maps showing 3” at ORH were garbage too.

Probably would have helped to have better fronto and an actually antecedent airmass. But getting instability for TSSN isn’t linear. Maybe a few joules more and it would have been a MCS. Who knows. Precip was very heavy and convective like for a time.

These bands regenerating aren’t doing much. Too bad we can’t CAA.

Garbage airmass and weenie 10:1 maps thrown around like candy. I think there was a report from Auburn of TSSN, but it probably was a plow. I never felt good for here.

Meh.

Winter hill ftw.

Shitty wet flakes.

It’s a garbage airmass. That’s why I was sort of meh.