CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Will and I were saying that because the trough is so broad.
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Hi res definitely deformed central MA into NH including ern CT.
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There's some hose in this house.
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So much for that myth of euro following Ukie. Nice deffy band into SNH.
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There's the stall. Wow.
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Euro has better confluence north of NE so this will be SE of 00z, but H5 really injects some energy from north of the GL so we'll see if this develops and slows.
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It will hit, but I think just a 1-2hr period of heavy snows and winds. Maybe 2-3" if it goes right.
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Yeah Tip's caressing Nape Rays melted some of the stuff exposed to solar radiation.
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Nrn hemi H5 scores. It swings around so violently as Will said.
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We'll see what the euro says, but day 5 Ukie is as good as the NAVGEM. I don't care what the H5 RMS errors say. That models shits itself at that timeframe more often than not.
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Looks like just SE of me getting it good for awhile. Sort of in between bands again.
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Big flakes fall from these bands, but the residence times of these sort of prevents more than a half inch in an individual spot it seems.
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Was looking at the Ukie graphic that was posted.
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You can have all the inflow you want, but if you don't have a strong lifting mechanism like a front, or strong isentropic lift..it won't give you these incredible solutions.
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Well that's why I said intensity of the min. I highly doubt only 2" fell.
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That is clearly a data void west of Hardwick. That's not correct to me. At least the intensity of that min.
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Yeah, I'm not trying to cause eye rolls...lol. Actually popped in my head.
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Reminds me of 12/26/10 a bit at 500. Lobe going north and trough sort of elongated a bit initially near East Coast.
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Back bay getting it. Friend got a half inch in 1 hr.
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That's optimistic. Maybe narrow area.
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I don't know if this has true block buster possibilities. Maybe in a narrow band perhaps as the deformation rots, but this is just a broad trough with surface lows jumping all over as a front end band moves in and then light rates after it leaves. I'd like to see H5 go under and tighten up in order for my mind to change.
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Snow is serious business. LOL. "Don't put me in the in zone"!
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6z EPS looks beautiful. Definitely not as amped as 00z.
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Maybe overruning or late bloom potential, but every time I see these patterns we have cutter risks. I'm not saying it will be bad..hell maybe we get good luck. Just my overall thought.
