CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Man it’s just threading the needle nowadays. Jesus.
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Playing with fire there
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Read models more and post less. It will do wonders.
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Might need that to stay positively tilted lol.
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Yeah, I think we all agree on that point of a storm either will or won’t happen depending on how that energy behaves to the southwest.
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What do you expect 300 Hours out?
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I don’t see an issue being a wise ass and venting a bit. Especially when it triggers Wolfie.
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Ensembles have a storm signal but pretty far offshore. Workable I guess. Op was definitely a wild member.
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We just don’t know
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No it isn’t
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Just not a fan how it warms up well ahead of it. Workable, but figures lol. Anyways all a fantasy at this point.
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Loop H5, that’s what happens when you don’t bury the trough in the Baja. But as you loop it, look how noisy the flow is. There is a lot of risk here.
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Lose the good airmass though.
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Dam. We take even though we taint
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As much as the NAM can be the NAM, I won’t discount it totally even though it seems the warmest. Still time to adjust a bit. I’ve learned to respect it when it shows these warm tongues. Just something to keep in mind, but don’t lose sleep over it at this point.
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I’m with Dendrite. I enjoy daylight.
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Could be a nice finale for DC when the mid level lows approach.
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My experience is that these elevated warm tongues even near 0C end up as some sleet especially when you dry out the DGZ. So perhaps for DC….when the DGZ dries out, you could get some sleet or rimed flakes until the mid level lows approach and it cools.
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DC proper may flirt with sleet a bit after 12z Monday but it’s close. A good dumping anyways.
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You have a days it snows fetish.
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What I’ve noticed is that the mean beyond 10 days out has not really shown the fold over ridge and trough by Baja. As we get closer, this features starts to show up. We’ve done well before with the ridge in that place, but that annoying Baja trough really prevents systems to develop in the Gulf and move northeast.
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EPS continues to show that annoying trough feature until the PNA drops. Maybe then we can get something.
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Maybe I will, maybe I won’t? We just don’t know?
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I don’t need you to be a teacher scolding a 7yr old. As someone who enjoys winter And literally has not seen an event over 3+” for 3 years and now with temps conducive since December 1 and has an inch and change to show for it….yeah it’s frustrating. So put me on ignore and deal with it.
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Because I enjoy winter and forecasting. It’s refreshing.
