CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Feb has a risk of being warm. That’s what I hear.
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Only worry in the world is if the tide gonna reach my chair.
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It’s becoming the best season. No worries about suppression or ptype, just let those southerly breezes take you away. It’s getting warmer anyways so may as well join the party.
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Sure, we’ll call it stitch and bitch. I would love that.
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More weenie fodder
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Nice AN stretch so far
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It is. It’s the most boring and frustrating pattern you could ask for.
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Tenor of the season!
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Euro has gotten its mojo back. 6z gfs is south and euro hasn’t budged.
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Nobody wants to hear it, but I can’t hate on the look mid month. Looks like a rebuilding ridge in the EPO/WPO region and building Greenland ridge.
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Srn CT has a shot of a little
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Thicker altostratus
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More teases.
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Any clouds formed release some sort of latent heat......it's just that convection obviously is a vigorous process of deep cloud depth formation.
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Yes. The process of latent heat release from convection will help with mid level warmth and pump heights up downstream of it.
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It's sort of a decaying deformation area due to the meat grinder to the north, but I expect a narrow ribbon of good snow totals in the H7-H5 deformation axis. Seems like PA border might be best bet? Oher interesting thing is that hefty WAA precip there moving towards DC on the GFS. You are playing with fire with the mid level warmth, but that area where it's juuust cold enough in the column could have one of those 6 hr blitz-fest. I'll look a little more later.
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I love those products. I haven't looked hard at DC, but always a little concerned of those N trends final 96 hours or so.
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Yeah, I don’t disagree. We need a longer sample size too, to really dig into this.
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Bastards
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If you loop H5, you can see the flow is so meridional....even at times pealing back to the SSW because of the block. I do see Tippy's point though. In the long run we are screwing things up...but in this case, I think the block is just augmenting this issue. Maybe we have some undertones of CC baked in there.
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50Kt Logan per @wx2fish
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It's going to be so much colder than last winter by mid month and as of now, likely will have just an inch and change to show for it. More snow at that point last winter. Un-effing-real.
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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!
CoastalWx replied to FXWX's topic in New England
That seems risky if there is a ZR issue. That happened at KBOS. They had 34F and ZR falling. Call me crazy, but the aviation industry might care about that lol. I actually had to let my former team know about that when forecasting. Hey no big deal, it's 34 and snow. Yeah, not really lol. -
Crushed with vis 5SM.
