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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Think 1-2 here which would probably start to rival previous two winters lol.
  2. Beyond 24 hrs out it’s definitely wild. But if it’s doing that like 6-8 hrs before an event, that’s an issue.
  3. Really? I feel like it did well on the events I got. Maybe it was different up there. I try to sort of average all the runs and see if there is a trend. But for now it seems to be an outlier.
  4. We used to fuss when Dendrite dissed us, No snow, wonder why winter missed us.
  5. Super ensembles, cyclogenesis… When it was early January man I couldn’t picture this….
  6. AI is pretty good next weekend. Might be some mix or rain in srn areas, but that would work.
  7. Yep that's possible too. I guess I just don't want people getting all bummed out in case it's a messy deal.
  8. These setups though can trend milder. Even the GEFS mean is tricky for next weekend. Yes, I understand how far out it is and the variability...but it would be very wise to keep expectations in check for now. I definitely think next weekend has more wintry upside vs Thursday.
  9. I don’t know, I’m not giving this much time to analyze. Maybe it ticks colder in euro, but both the op and ensembles have a dampening s/w peeling NW of us with a repeating high. “Next” is the first thing that comes to mind for me. I see the gfs, but my guess is comes north and warmer.
  10. It will be nice tomorrow morning and then by lunch I’m aggravated.
  11. Already picturing it melting into Tuesday so this event is meh to me. We’re onto next weekend.
  12. Reminds me of those events where the precip jack is srn areas where the LLJ converges with land. Ratios will be good, just not sure how much precip here. Sort of lose the punch as you go east and north a bit.
  13. He’ll do better than me too. But yeah that is a good weenie ensemble blend.
  14. Yeah good ratios there. I always think 10:1 and then adjust for ratios depending on location. Nam juiced a bit. Looks like 2-3” with maybe a spot 4 srn CT to Wrn RI on north.
  15. Maybe a narrow area? Can see a little enhancement on Maine coast.
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