CoastalWx

Not sure what isn’t clear. I don’t see that it’s an epic look. It’s ok and you can get chances if it’s ok. But I mentioned the caveats about an epic look. Sometimes you guys remind of of Santa’s Little Helper on The Simpsons. Only hear certain commands. Ruff ruff ruff ruff, “epic snow” ruff ruff ruff ruff “pattern sucks.” Anything is better than this hell. But forgive me if I’m not sold on an epic look. I’m not sure what’s wrong with that take?

Gfs from 00z/14 looks like 6z euro lol.

6z euro is pretty warm. Too bad the gfs flinched a couple of days ago.

I’m not in the boat he is lol. Man this place is a trip.

Nothing changed. Given what we have now, anything is good lol. I just see some stuff that makes me not sold on an epic look. I explained above regarding next two weeks.

I’ve felt this way for a couple of days.

I guess it’s how you read it. I didn’t say it sucked. It’s ok. You can still do well in an ok look. I’m just not giddy about it.

Because the 2010-2011 stuff.....let’s pump the brakes on that. It’s an ok look.

Maybe I’m the contrarian, but I don’t get the warm and fuzzies that others get in this pattern. It’s most certainly better than what we have had, but a few things where I’m like eh. The -PNA is massive. While that could be used to help throw out s/w’s, it’s gonna want to send things north too. So that’s where the -NAO helps. That should help keep things more south, but I’m not sold on that being a lock if we get a stronger system. It’s also not a cold look overall. Maybe we get a little BN in temps at times, but I wouldn’t mind it a little colder. The other thing is the zonal look on the mean. I know it’s a mean and won’t capture individual events, but it’s rather zonal so we may see a lot of small deals which is fine I guess? Maybe it’s me, but I don’t have the excitement as some do.

Yeah may have to go to CH after Christmas haha. Don’t have a good feeling near and south of pike.

NAM was nice near and esp over the border into NH. Not much near and south of pike. Decent burst to start before pellets and ZR inland and rain near coast.

Need some now and then.

Haven’t dug into Synoptics yet though. Just looking at a few things.

Looks crappy below 925.

That’s my guess too. Lots of 3-6 and 4-8 stuff. Maybe a narrow area gets more. Could see nrn ORH doing ok as sometimes erly flow cools 850 a bit over those hills.

Mixing like hell.

Maybe the GFS will be right after all. LOL.

87kts at KRSL. Russell Kansas. That’s not from convection. WTF.

It’s not just severe. We don’t have the high end stuff that many other parts of the country get. We do snow and maybe a few strong nor’easters.

New England weather is boring AF. Give me a break with the “harsh” New England weather nonsense. We have no severe, no canes, and ok some snow. Big deal compared to what these other places get. I know there is the one in 20 year cane and some nor’easters......but we have it easy when you think of it.

Yeah I’m not expecting much but I wouldn’t rule out 1-3. That’s where I stand

If I were you, I’d prepare to meet Kali.

It also may get milder next week as flow gets a little zonal. So that could melt a bit. It's not really cold.

It's always fun.

I'll enjoy my sleet to start.