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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Follow that rain ENE. That’s the HRRR. That’s why we said they jack into SE MA.
  2. You can see the ball of convection ready to go over the S coast.
  3. It’s not EF4. That’s stronger than the Springfield 2011 TOR which you could argue reached that briefly. Probably high end EF2. McMansions can be cookie cutter structures that are made well but not that well.
  4. Don't read into model waffles, heaviest likely near WF srn ct, RI, into SE MA. Maybe a mini other jack near Kev to BDL given rains. But these things can change.
  5. I even mentioned areas south of pike may Stein for a bit, and that will happen probably near Kev and Ri shortly. But the uber stuff will blow away anything the areas getting fronto later on. So the dry areas now will begin to surpass the areas likely getting decent rains now.
  6. 18z yesterday, HRRR, NAM, Euro, all had it. GFS had a weaker signal.
  7. All the models yesterday had a good drink in CT prior extending ENE.
  8. All models had decent rains in that area today.
  9. Bufkit has gusts to about 30 maybe 35kts at BDL. Meh.
  10. Yeah but we don't know exactly where the stuff sets up. No need to have several million people think they're going to float away. I think strong wording is good and then you handle it with the warnings. Public won't respond to watches. They'll respond to people like Ryan talking about possible impacts.
  11. NAM/3K NAM/RPM...all basically the same idea. Lots of rain. The true jack area still up in the air.
  12. Ryan was texting this, and I agree....that blob of convection will ride the WF...so possible that may be a little south as modeled too.
  13. HRRR shit show south of pike. I hope not.
  14. SRN CT jack. Congrats on water issues.
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