CoastalWx

Yeah. He gone and has been gone.

I hope not. It looks very healthy overall, but I noticed two of those spots. It's a large tree so if it were to go, it would be a pizza cutter through my house.

It's out to sea. lock that.

Would some sort of insect do that? I thought I saw some tiny gnats of flies there, but it could be coincidence.

This is nice Wx. We take.

54. Not sure when it was this cool. Maybe earlier in July.

We are getting warmer. And that means more moisture. But could it also be an unlucky stretch too? The 50s had some rough floods as well. It’s tough to point fingers and Blame it on CC.

But both were tropical systems. Tropical systems are going to unload on someone. Unfortunately both happened to be near NYC.

Right but the coverage wouldn’t even be close. It happen end in the biggest city of the country. We’ve had these events happen before. But now it Occurred in NY. These tropical systems interacting with a trough would have flooded the colonists.

Meh that wouldn’t have changed anything. It’s NYC. Lots of people live there. They have places to go. All you can do is warn about impact and communicate that as best as you can. You can’t tell people what to do. You just need to communicate things as best as you can. They have to take that info and do what they please. This was probably 1/100ish year event? Maybe more? Every time there is a risk of FFW, you aren’t going to keep people off the roads or have 300,000 people leave their basement apt.

If this occurred 40 miles NW, nobody would be talking like you are. It’s unfortunate it all came together over NY metro.

@tamarack you know what this could be? I have two spots like these on one of my oak.

Well it was forecasted well to be honest.

It was showing winds way too strong north of the front. I think that’s what most of us were trying to say.

Kevin looks like one member as a storm with a nipple.

Dude that’s so Far East.

That’s convective. The products you had were synoptic. It was 30-40 like what most expected.

Nope

Sell

The high res models did a good job highlighting extreme rainfall in a short period. I thought the HRRR did well. It may have been a hair too far north, but what tends to happen is that these convective complexes ride the warm front. Usually when this happens, the heaviest rains sort of stay a bit more south of where models place this. I find this happens more in the warm season. Forky was talking about this in our forum, yesterday. So take the HRRR and move it like 15 miles south....boom. We had amounts to my south of 6-8"+ too in about 3-5 hrs.

Back broken with Ida.

I wasn't trying to dismiss it...just noting some towns in other spots had numbers really stick out. Definitely 7-8"+ at least there.

People better have carfax when they go to buy used cars in a couple of years.

Wow New Bedford 9.5" on PNS. Although it seems like some of these reports are a little much.

Incredible stuff there. Wow. Kudos to the HRRR and HREF.