CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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6z runs toned it down a bit. We’ll see what 12z does. Seems like models are fluctuating a bit on the LLJ near and behind front.
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Still too progressive
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Yeah guidance kicked up a bit. Nasty winds along front and just after fropa.
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May have some bodies blown into @backedgeapproachingyard.
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@OceanStWxmentioned MOS has 50kts for BTV. For that product, that's unheard of.
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18z EPS looked better, but a very long shot.
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Looks good to me.
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Yeah the low retros and heights rise. It does have agreement with the tropical stuff too. Piggy doesn't look like a long standing feature.
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At hr 126 it looks really interesting, 12 hrs later it starts to get decapitated lol.
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Can't go anywhere with the s/w getting side kicked from the Pacific. Too progressive.
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Yeah came ashore and did minor damage. Pretty wild, but was on SE side of the low so you had enough shear and some low level CAPE.
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Thanksgiving 2005? Snow OTG too. lol.
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Yep, already more than halfway through.
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Just so far lol.
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I'm sure something will eff this up. Been the tenor of the season.
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NAM has LLJ ahead of front and inverted.
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FWIW, I don't know if they'll be enough LES to really justify. It's subjective anyways..but it's going to be nuts there Friday into Saturday.
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I think it was NWS BUF saying it, and they still are. Looks pretty intense there. I didn't see this for any place else. From a CONUS point of view, this is an impressive storm with some dynamics I have not seen in a long tine.
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Everything is wide open.
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It's gonna suck. But I sure would not want to do it late day when it's falling like a rock and a quick change to snow possible in VT.
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That's a defect with those. Assumes last 6 hrs is snow. Nope.
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Still might be inverted a bit ahead of WF. But any convection will help.
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There is a pulse of very strong winds from about NYC to MHT on east after fropa. Strongest of these winds look to be eastern CT to maybe NE MA on east. I haven’t looked at bufkit yet, but based on the point and click soundings, looks pretty nuts.
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Who said Portsmouth? I could see snow in Berks.
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I buy front end snow there.
