RitualOfTheTrout

Picked up a slushy coating that was quickly freezing up overnight. Just enough to encase the car in a icy crust and freeze the doors shut. Now we wait to see what the lakes do, seems like some light snow showers are already developing behind the exiting front. Should have a favorable fetch over Huron and Erie for at least a bit of time which is typically what we need to get those stronger bands.

I think most of what we see will be lake driven, most of the synoptic precip will be over by the time we get cold enough. With the huge temperature difference of the anomalously cold air over the warm lake waters hard to imagine some robust bands don't develop so we know how that goes, some of us will see an inch while others get a dusting. All that being said, wind is starting to pick up and feels a lot cooler out there now.

Anyone interested, apparently Jeff Verszyla has his own little hobby weather site https://pittsburghweathernow.com/ Looks like he posts daily weather forecasts etc. A little cheesy at first but after I watched a couple you can tell he is just having some fun and keeping relevant with weather. Anyways, he posted a Winter Forecast: https://www.facebook.com/JeffVerszylaWeather/videos/1660342644103250/

Not expecting much accumulation today around here, maybe a dusting if moisture can hang around until after dark. Looking forward to seeing some snow in the air though. Either way, tomorrow morning will probably feel more like January than November.

Interesting look for the end of this week on the Euro.. Thinking at the very least we may get to see first legitimate snow in the air. There were a few flakes in the air on Friday early in the morning if you squinted hard enough but something a bit more substantial would be fun. Really nice layout on pivotal to view the Euro maps, hope these free maps last all winter.

Hopefully they both last at least for the duration of winter, the free Euro maps and the decent H5 look on the models.

Picture is worth a thousands words... Insanity Winter 2018-2019 Is Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Again and Expecting Different Results.

Just miserable cold rain.. Maybe we should start tracking mud slides.

Easy there... Let's not get carried away lol. I need a new lawn mower this spring so I'm even less enthusiastic about grass cutting season starting. Anyone have any good recommendations on a good push mower? Prefer non-self propelled. I had a basic Craftsman with a 5.50hp Briggs and Stratton engine but it would tend to bog down at time. It was a good mower though otherwise, started on first pull even after long time in the garage. Had it 11 years but it started smelling like gas while sitting in the garage this past year but no evidence of a leak and revving up and down while running. Then this fall on the last cut it started backfiring then wouldn't start. Not sure how interested I am in trying to fix it.

That and most stores will be empty from a people perspective. I think everyone blitzed the grocery stores last night and early morning.

Lol I will say I expected more from this winter to this point. Still has time to redeemed itself and a favorable outcome this weekend would be a good start.

Euro on board with similar output:

This. I agree by the way the rule is written there was a valid reason to "review" the play but it was ruled a touchdown on the field. He was down on his knee with full control of the ball before making a move towards the goal line, had control of the ball has it broke the plane of the goal line up and until there was some movement as his hands hit the ground. It's really leaving this interpretation up to a human and I certainly didn't think the outcome from video review was 100% conclusive.. In other news the snow storm we had a few days back on Christmas day has been awarded to NE, ruin our football and steal our snow!

This winter is so depressing I can't even go into the New England forum and live vicariously through them...

I'd love to live there when you can count on LES almost every year...

You referring to the blizzard last year? I got like 4-5 inches out of that, just missed the good stuff. So I'll reserve the right to cry and moan about frozen water (or lack there of) falling from the sky and laying in my yard.

So since this seems to be over performing for everyone (posters in the South especially) what is better, having a big snowfall modeled at least 2-3 days in advance and it actually verifying so you get to soak in all the hype etc, or something like this that ends up being more than forecast with advisories and warnings be added \ upgraded on the fly?

If its any consolation we are foretasted to get into the 40s on Monday and Tuesday with rain showers. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't pass on a potentially historic blizzard because of that, but seeing a warm-up after a big snow is a downer for me. That's why once we get into March it better be big or go home when it comes to snow in my book. I'd love to get a big snow in early to mid January followed by a cold spell with some clippers dropping a fresh 2-4 every couple days, then another big one as the pattern breaks down.

Tied up 2-2, making a comeback just like the models will show a big north trend tonight, guaranteed!

I was thinking the same thing, if we were sweating the r/s line you know this would have shifted 75 miles north to give us slop lol.

I'd take 2-4 inches, but if we are talking anything under 2 I'm with you. Seeing the flakes fall will just be a reminder of what we are missing out on. I'll torture myself though and probably go into the obs thread in MA forum during the storm lol

Well Winter should be arriving soon now, I just found a zip lock bag of snow I had in the freezer from last winter for the Science Center free admission day over the summer that we never used. I dumped it out in the yard. So whats the big deal? I've always had this superstition from when I was a kid that winter couldn't return if I had snow preserved via some unnatural means. I used to freeze snow from big storms in the freezer then when a thaw would come and no end was in sight I'd dump the snow out and winter coincidentally always returned. Gotta have some fun with this lousy winter.

Absolutely incredible, its almost 60 degrees at 9:30am on December 12th with rays of sun coming through the clouds. Stepped out onto the deck in shorts and no shirt to get the dog in and it wasn't even uncomfortable. If you are gonna torch a winter month away I guess this is the way to do it. From a snow perspective whats the difference if its 40 or 60?

Models seem to have been hinting at something in the 18-21 time frame correlating with a brief +PNA Anything we can get to buckle that raging Pacific Jet will help. Euro and GFS both have a system that would give us "some" snow I think. Even if this doesn't work out, I'm hopeful the favorable periods will become increasingly more frequent as the pattern evolves and we hopefully get the trough access to come east. That with our coldest climo period and an active STJ should yield some opportunities.

Yeah, I think it was fine before the recent change to increase the dst time. It starts too soon and ends too late for my liking. I question energy savings, sure there is one hour in the evening that people don't have lights on, but its just transferred to the morning when people are getting ready for work. I notice the difference in the morning too. It was getting light just as I left for work prior to the change, now its still dark when I get to work. it will even out in a couple more weeks, but why not leave it alone.