RitualOfTheTrout

Looks like most areas are in the Enhanced Risk Zone for round 2. It will be interesting to see how things setup today, I'd think most areas that didn't see much yesterday should be more in line today, but I can also see where there may be an area of overlap that get hit pretty hard again, NWS makes mention of this in the discussion. SPC Outlook: ...Upper Ohio Valley east to the mid Atlantic Coast... In the wake of remnant/early-morning convection, airmass recovery/destabilization is forecast ahead of a short-wave trough (now centered near southern Lake Michigan) which will cross Lake Erie and reach western Pennsylvania by early afternoon. As this feature -- and a weak/associated surface low -- advances, redevelopment of scattered thunderstorms is forecast to occur, possibly beginning as early as midday, across Pennsylvania, and adjacent parts of West Virginia, Maryland, and northern Virginia. With the airmass forecast to become moderately unstable, storms should quickly intensify -- aided by the persistent belt of strong westerly deep-layer flow across the area. While some tornado risk is expected -- particularly near/ahead of the weak surface low and associated warm front, where backed low-level flow will be present, the greater risks appear to be locally damaging winds, and hail. Some CAM guidance suggests that storms may grow upscale through the afternoon, eventually merging into an at least loosely organized cluster, as it sweeps across eastern portions of the risk area and off the Atlantic coast during the evening. Should this occur, more widespread wind risk would likely evolve, and thus have expanded the ENH risk area slightly, extending it off the mid-Atlantic coast. Other/more isolated cells are expected farther south across central Virginia, with convective potential -- and severe risk -- decreasing with southward extent, as indicated by the gradient in severe probability lines across northern and central Virginia. ..Goss/Squitieri.. 05/29/2019

Got pounded pretty good between say 9:30pm and 2:00am. Woke up a little after 1am to another severe Thunderstorm Warning. Didn't see much tree damage, but the lightening and amount of rain were incredible. Glad I waited to finish filling the pool up, Mother Nature may have done a bulk of that for me overnight.

Lol watching the radar I was thinking the same thing.

Didn't see much, just a briefly heavy downpour, some gusts, and a few pieces of hail for about 2 mins. Just missed it, not complaining to much though, I wouldn't be really looking forward to dealing with hail damage.

Pea size hail pinging off the patio door now.

I'm riding the line on that one in northern allegheny /Westmoreland. I may just skirt by on the southern fringe.

These Tornadoes that hit overnight are really rough, most people are asleep and get caught totally off guard.

Looks like we will get at least some destabilization once the warm front goes through, like you said if we get any partial sun things could get interesting.

Picture is worth a thousands words... Insanity Winter 2018-2019 Is Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Again and Expecting Different Results.

Just miserable cold rain.. Maybe we should start tracking mud slides.

Easy there... Let's not get carried away lol. I need a new lawn mower this spring so I'm even less enthusiastic about grass cutting season starting. Anyone have any good recommendations on a good push mower? Prefer non-self propelled. I had a basic Craftsman with a 5.50hp Briggs and Stratton engine but it would tend to bog down at time. It was a good mower though otherwise, started on first pull even after long time in the garage. Had it 11 years but it started smelling like gas while sitting in the garage this past year but no evidence of a leak and revving up and down while running. Then this fall on the last cut it started backfiring then wouldn't start. Not sure how interested I am in trying to fix it.

That and most stores will be empty from a people perspective. I think everyone blitzed the grocery stores last night and early morning.

Lol I will say I expected more from this winter to this point. Still has time to redeemed itself and a favorable outcome this weekend would be a good start.

Euro on board with similar output:

This. I agree by the way the rule is written there was a valid reason to "review" the play but it was ruled a touchdown on the field. He was down on his knee with full control of the ball before making a move towards the goal line, had control of the ball has it broke the plane of the goal line up and until there was some movement as his hands hit the ground. It's really leaving this interpretation up to a human and I certainly didn't think the outcome from video review was 100% conclusive.. In other news the snow storm we had a few days back on Christmas day has been awarded to NE, ruin our football and steal our snow!

This winter is so depressing I can't even go into the New England forum and live vicariously through them...

I'd love to live there when you can count on LES almost every year...

You referring to the blizzard last year? I got like 4-5 inches out of that, just missed the good stuff. So I'll reserve the right to cry and moan about frozen water (or lack there of) falling from the sky and laying in my yard.

So since this seems to be over performing for everyone (posters in the South especially) what is better, having a big snowfall modeled at least 2-3 days in advance and it actually verifying so you get to soak in all the hype etc, or something like this that ends up being more than forecast with advisories and warnings be added \ upgraded on the fly?

If its any consolation we are foretasted to get into the 40s on Monday and Tuesday with rain showers. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't pass on a potentially historic blizzard because of that, but seeing a warm-up after a big snow is a downer for me. That's why once we get into March it better be big or go home when it comes to snow in my book. I'd love to get a big snow in early to mid January followed by a cold spell with some clippers dropping a fresh 2-4 every couple days, then another big one as the pattern breaks down.

Tied up 2-2, making a comeback just like the models will show a big north trend tonight, guaranteed!

I was thinking the same thing, if we were sweating the r/s line you know this would have shifted 75 miles north to give us slop lol.

I'd take 2-4 inches, but if we are talking anything under 2 I'm with you. Seeing the flakes fall will just be a reminder of what we are missing out on. I'll torture myself though and probably go into the obs thread in MA forum during the storm lol

Well Winter should be arriving soon now, I just found a zip lock bag of snow I had in the freezer from last winter for the Science Center free admission day over the summer that we never used. I dumped it out in the yard. So whats the big deal? I've always had this superstition from when I was a kid that winter couldn't return if I had snow preserved via some unnatural means. I used to freeze snow from big storms in the freezer then when a thaw would come and no end was in sight I'd dump the snow out and winter coincidentally always returned. Gotta have some fun with this lousy winter.

Absolutely incredible, its almost 60 degrees at 9:30am on December 12th with rays of sun coming through the clouds. Stepped out onto the deck in shorts and no shirt to get the dog in and it wasn't even uncomfortable. If you are gonna torch a winter month away I guess this is the way to do it. From a snow perspective whats the difference if its 40 or 60?