mob1
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But they had 4 in March
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Euro still not on board at 18Z
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Starts off a bit sloppy, but extrapolated from here it honestly looks pretty good. For NE, you'd want the vort to close off and capture a hair later as otherwise it could occlude south of you (think Boxing Day).
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Regular Euro looks terrible
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Huge hit! Has a foot plus for this subforum (and the entire state of NJ).
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Most models show some snow (coating to an inch) for this. Would be nice to get a layer of clean snow before the next cold spell this weekend into early next week.
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At this point we all at least experienced a solid period of real winter with a decent snowstorm and sustained cold. Would have been nice if a couple of additional snow events panned out? Absolutely! But at this point all I'm looking for is one more solid storm to bookend an acceptable winter.
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GFS in the early going doesn't look great
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mob1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Entire ridge axis is shifted a bit east on the GFS, so even though the trough is further along in the process of going neutral, the overall look isn't great. Flatter ridge out west as well. -
5-7 for the south form out to Montauk. Still honestly close enough to trend towards a few inches for the city but after 0Z tonight if it still looks like this it's likely not happening.
