mob1

I'm in Nanuet for this event (thankfully). 24 degrees and light snow falling.

HRRR looks beautiful for the second straight run, hopefully we verify just a hair SW of what models depict. Won't take much.

It's beautiful

Canadian is really good as well.

Not worried, just discussing weather. I have no control over what happens, just have lived here long enough to know how this usually goes. I'm rooting for us harder than you can imagine, it's normal to be a bit pessimistic given overall trends.

Sorry, I meant Ant and myself. We live in southern Brooklyn and SI respectively.

RGEM is solid

It's the most likely outcome IMO. Snow to sleet and then maybe back to some light snow. These very sharp cutoffs on snow maps juuuuust south of us rarely (if ever) work out in our favor. 2-4" is what I'm going with now

NAM is far from ideal but at least it improved.

Likely the January 2016 storm. It's NYC's snowiest storm but leading up to it most models showed it missing them to the south and NAM was the first to move well north.

It is indeed

Yeah, looks a bit worse overall (unless you want to cherry pick a few areas that do better).

RAP

I give up guessing. I'll get what I get.

The entire evolution of the storm is a bit too aggressive and too far north on the NAM, but the sleet line will likely be a lot further north that the what the other models show.