Yes GFS is definitely converging. From up over RI to this. Soundings are saturated here below 0 c with a bump to 33/34 at the surface. Thumpity my name is Humpity
Here's my gig. This place gets very boring and repetitive so we try to stimulate convo and it works. Peeps get real deep thoughts not many fly by night "must be dope" posts. I am never angry but definitely always up for a debate. Sometimes it's good to be contra
So you are saying that the forecasts you got today for Tuesday are more accurate than they were 15 years ago. People keep mentioning selective Cherry pickin memory . I suppose its better than no memory like some are exhibiting in this thread.
So its bias flipped to overamped super deep highly convective POS and that's better. I suggest here forecasters can't figure out the sensible weather biases anymore and it is infuriating.
Totally disagree and pretty condescending as you have no idea why people think the model forecasts outside day 3 are not that much better, as to induce higher confidence in forecasts. Thats a figment of imagination.
96 hrs was your moniker I believe. I am 100% certain you were just as unsure with the 84 hr 2005 Euro as you are today. Say that knowing you are the best. What has improved by leaps and bounds is 5H heights but sensible weather 84 hrs nah not seeing it.