Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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1/13/24 Sultan Slicer #2 - Heavy rain, snow, wind?
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
CT knows how to jack rainfall .. unreal .. another 1.5 to 2.5" likley with iso 3 in the favored rainforests -
@bluewavein the NYC forum posted a gif of EURO situation it was well SE at 100 hours only to make a massive NW shift the next few runs in the 90-102 hour range.. So i guess it has happened before with the EURO.. Feb 7 2021 ..
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No doubt there are major differnces in GFS/EURO there at starting around 60 hours and the differnces increase pretty dramatically by 80-90 hours..
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The NBM is 5-7" for most of New England and the EURO has a 1002mb low 250 miles SE of the benchmark inside 100 hours.. When have we ever seen that? I've seen times recently when euro has had a significant snow storm while nothing else bites inside 100 hours only for the EURO to be 100% wrong.
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zero consistency with anything , total toss up atm IMO . 00z gfs lost tuesday mostly and grabbed the wednesday wave, 06z likes both waves , EURO lost ? Or is the king onto something before everything else .. 6z gefs amped again
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The control run which always follows the op was 500 miles plus NW.. looking at the indies there’s several monster hits for many on this board ..
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Several bombs (975mb range) , at least half of the gefs members have bombs going past benchmark into Gulf of Maine.. Huge mean this far out 5-7" for most of this forum on GEFS.
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Too cold most of the column it would just be sleet
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Exactly for us coast folks we much rather pull this NW than SE
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Liking the progession in the PAC in the long range (13-15 on ensembles) after the transient possible mild-up... Really nice to see everything moving along as planned ..
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If you can't find the pattern change, I'd reccommend some Bifocals.
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I'm just focusing on Tuesday for now, but ya 980 Delmarva-960 MVY -945 near MT. Washington...
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Why would we want the worst of the cold here? That would ensure cold and dry with no snowpack since most in SNE will have no snow by Saturday morning
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Yes GEFS looked way better I forgot to include that in the post
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A bit SE of the great 12z run on EPS , and also later devloping , still some great hits and very strong lows around BM.. Still a great mean of 4-6" for this forum less SW and more NE as most members really get going in gulf of Maine
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6z gfs with a massive cave to euro with a stronger slower low like the Euro had on the jan 10th 00z run.. not good verbatim .. a lot to iron out on guidacne in that timeframe
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Solid storm for most on this forum, but it will change a bunch more as this is a day 5.5 to day 6 storm depending on guidance.. Euro still bombs out on that run down to 985mb 200 miles east of the cape..
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DOLPHINS are in trouble vs the Chiefs weather wise.. Chiefs getting lucky .. wind chills forecast to be 10 to 20 below for game time in KC, MIAMI isn't going to do well in that Saturday night..
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dead zone waiting for euro.. we could discuss that massive rainstorm the UKIE has on our lunch breaks instead?
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Here's the storm that started right after the Super Bowl in NY .. Looks like a NYC metro and SWCT jack thats why no one remembers here lmao .. 5-10" for SWCT and nyc metro and 2-5" to the north and east
