Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Ya 700 moved south again by 50 miles -
Nice move south again.. Close to much more out east as it explodes a touch too late ..
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Ukie nice hit pike SE, it’s late to party like cmc The overwhelming majority of 12z trends is colder and south . 3km nam seems to be warm outlier for now… here’s our map from last night.. I said 35% chance we’d move it south , looks like we will move it south a bit if current trends hold.
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@Ginx snewx sitting back smiling at GEFS
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Feel the same about your optimism sometimes. Can’t just sit back and smile when the inevitable is right in your face .. I haven’t been wrong yet with every storm falling apart here since 2021.. when things look good I’ll be positive when they don’t I’ll note the possible negatives. I said pretty clearly I feel pretty damn good and optimistic for a widespread 3”+ south and 6”+ 84 north.
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ok dude I bet you are sitting back smiling on your horse right now ..
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Canadian still not biting fully, heavy snow up to pike only.. Weird how slow it's been to buy in
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Ya instead its a LBW look ... Looks like we built a border wall on the CT/NY line
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GFS ticked surface / 850 / 700 SE and is cold enough for 95% snow in CT.. just not as much precip .. almost 12km NAM Like
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GFS with a messy precip shield , a lot less juicy
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Ya this has a lot higher floor than all the other junk we've seen.. think 3"+ for all then 6" + 84 north .. not your normal coating to 2" until you get to extreme northern CT
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It's ticked 200 miles south with the heavy snow axis since 12z yesterday ... Just a Global NAM
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GFS is a tic South again this run through 30
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A widespread 3" + in southern CT would be the biggest storm since the Jan 22 blizzard miss. I'm pretty optimistic that we do see a widespread 3"+ down here ..
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Reggie is actually pretty consistent .. 850, 700, and surface lows all in general same spot, that run was just more amped with the goods.
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I don't see any reason to be conservative with the warm air aloft.. It's going to come flying in and north.. 3km has the right idea
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Wild 84 corridor is a degree or two between 700-800 from 12-18" of snow or less than 6"
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ya looks just like ICON and the warmest EURO solutions ..
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Just ran the 3km NAM 1 hr snow from my basement.. 5.3" of snow in one hour lol.. The 3km snow output total is from only 2-3 hours of snow, not good relying on 6" of snow to accumulate in 2-3 hours with borderline temps..
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Ya I agree, that run makes a lot of sense with the mid level tracks
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All guidance is adamant on a rather large band of extremely heavy snow moving through all of SNE..
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Ya warm nose gets just north of 84 at the peak before crashing down with heavier rates.. would still get 6"+ for most of CT as it pounds right after that.. 12km much cooler..
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If we can lock this in verbatim I'll forgive this winter forever. Would be 2-3"+ for several hours in daylight.. Too bad its long range hrrr..
