Feel the same about your optimism sometimes. Can’t just sit back and smile when the inevitable is right in your face .. I haven’t been wrong yet with every storm falling apart here since 2021.. when things look good I’ll be positive when they don’t I’ll note the possible negatives.
I said pretty clearly I feel pretty damn good and optimistic for a widespread 3”+ south and 6”+ 84 north.
Ya this has a lot higher floor than all the other junk we've seen.. think 3"+ for all then 6" + 84 north .. not your normal coating to 2" until you get to extreme northern CT
A widespread 3" + in southern CT would be the biggest storm since the Jan 22 blizzard miss. I'm pretty optimistic that we do see a widespread 3"+ down here ..
Just ran the 3km NAM 1 hr snow from my basement.. 5.3" of snow in one hour lol.. The 3km snow output total is from only 2-3 hours of snow, not good relying on 6" of snow to accumulate in 2-3 hours with borderline temps..
Ya warm nose gets just north of 84 at the peak before crashing down with heavier rates.. would still get 6"+ for most of CT as it pounds right after that.. 12km much cooler..
00z
Super cold at surface not much precip compared to globals and obviously well south. Just another option on the table, if mesos hold the southern course then it’s going to be a load bath tomorrow to see what wins out. for Also no wind to speak of on NAM