I think some of you are forgetting that we called the Euro king for a reason, and it never caved or jumped. Only made small moves to reach consensus, now it bounces back and forth more than Kevin’s Seasons in Seasons.
It's amazing how close it is to all snow on the GFS for interior CT. 925 temps are around .5 to 1.5 Celsius during peak warming.. surface 32-34 , 850s around freezing ..
No doubt about last year underperforming we ended up getting like 5-10” in 2 week from the 18-24” mean that we had. But this does mean that the threats are there.
Im leaning white rain to rain up to I-84 / coating to 2” 84 corridor / 2-5” highest hills NW for now.
Ya don’t recall seeing the ensemble means this snowy on all ensembles in early to mid December. Multiple threats to track, Howell we can cash in on 1 or 2.
It’s actually the same or a touch further north with some surface features, just a but colder at first in some spots, looks like icon . Faster less amped meh
We need a 50 mile south tic, can easily go either way. I’d wager the tics go north though, we shall see, still have 48 hours til confidence really goes up in the track.
Almost looks like a blue bomb for the 84 corridor and with temps this borderline I think elevation would help. 925 and 850 hover around 0 the whole time.
I expect this to verify about 50 miles north of the 0c line depicted here however.
what a juicy run of the euro widespread 1.5-2.5” qpf
It’s best to thread these when it’s obviously going to affect only one region, or there are multiple threats. For now everyone has a chance so we can keep it here.
Going to be hard to get all snow south of rt 2 and 84 with the latest trends the past 18 hours. Verbatim that 6z euro wouldn’t be as good south of 84. 2-4” then ice and rain as the mid levels are torched by then .
Let’s get that high to start trending to stick around for longer!
Ya feet of digital snow is usually modeled a few times a week it seems in January and February. But if it were to ever actually happen, December would be so much better.
I’d sacrifice next season if the 6z gfs verified with probably more snow leading up to Christmas.. 40-60” of snow after that 360 hour fantasy storm in mid December for all of New England and very cold.. weenies can dream. I’m sure the 12z runs will be congrats Atlanta then a raging SE ridge