Sey-Mour Snow

Yes, very. I have an iPhone. Posted this from my phone in a minute. EPS looks like 12z.

Weatherbell

Sell for north of 84, buying south of 84 after initial slug. We always get screwed down here with warmth coming in really quick, then washes away by 84.

From your boy Matt Noyes First, what is a "Norlun Instability Trough?" A trough is a weak disturbance in the atmosphere - in this case, near the surface - marked by lower surface barometric pressure that results from converging wind direction and speed. Surface convergence of air results in rising air (afterall, air converging at the surface must go either up or down, and clearly can't go into the ground), and rising air produces clouds and precipitation. Hence, troughs can focus locally heavier bands of precipitation. It was noted by operational forecasters Steve NOgueiRa and Weir LUNdstedt (Nor-Lun) that these troughs, when inverted (extending northwest from a surface low) and beneath a middle and upper level atmospheric cold pool, could result in very strong, localized bands of precipitation. On occasion, these narrow but intense bands of snow could produce in excess of one foot of snow, and largely were missed by computer guidance. Mr. Norgueira and Lundstedt both worked to find methods of forecasting these events, even when computer modeling missed them. Since their initial study in 1992, computer modeling has improved significantly, and these events often are projected in advance, though placement and intensity continues to be a challenge, especially in more complex setups.

A weather logo has to be cool somewhere in life , this might be the only place ..

ran out of your basement!

Might go above freezing wednesday for a bit , then its cold, before the next "event(s)"

I think we could see freezing snizzle after the initial thump which wouldn't hurt on accumulations .. seems like 1-3" is a good bet first thump here, then we will nowcast what happens after if anything.

Well that was fun while it lasted, my gut was correct. Congrats rt 2 north; hoping for an inch here. GEFS look awesome for CNE

Trends continue to suck for us maybe an inch or two for us?

And well north again

18z eps Another bump north and east with the goods, solid for most.

Things shift to south shore Wednesday early morning

Euro decent bump north with the goods into CNE. Not like GFS yet. Also plenty cold except for maybe immediate south coast.

Inconsistent as in having a non event for several runs, now it’s 2-4”...

Yes gfs is the farthest north and warmest but every piece of guidance is north another shift on those and it’s game over for us southern weenies. My gut tells me congrats Rt 2

The euro has been just as inconsistent.

GEFS with a huge jump north. Not liking trends for southern areas.

Like our area for some light snow, but could also see this just vaporizing.

Pretty big differences in Euro, that’s a much more favorable look for us for Thursday, keep it trending.

Yes I looked closer at just Thursday I counted 6 big hits for SNE and 3 glancing blows, the rest well south. So about 16% of gefs members would be in business.

New England just for Tuesday Thursday.

29th threat definitely on life support, verbatim Gfs is still very close and gives a few inches for the south coast . If other guidance jumps north I’ll stay interested if not congrats Mid - Atlantic.